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@tesla

#2,809,81430

0x0f718d7bd3236b0a647275d381d28329dcc3c28f

1200d· 14 markets · 13 tradesVol: $2,4392026-06-29T19:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 79%20/20
Profit Factor 0.02x0/15
HHI 86310/10
Profit Days 77%10/10

Summary

Tesla is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 13 trades spread across 13 different markets over 936 days. Despite a high win rate of 87.5%, tesla currently holds a negative net PnL of $-1,050.89, placing them at rank #2,809,814 on the global leaderboard. Their total trading volume is relatively low at $2,439 and their portfolio value stands at $34.56, indicating limited capital deployment. The smart score of 30/100 suggests below-average performance compared to peers.

Tesla’s trading style appears focused on consistent, low-frequency bets rather than high-volume or automated approaches, as confirmed by a bot score of 0/100. They have earned badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands, implying a preference for precise entries and holding positions without selling. The absence of trades in weather markets and a sell percentage of zero suggest a buy-and-hold mentality with a conservative risk profile. However, the negative Sharpe ratio (-0.27) reflects poor risk-adjusted returns, despite a high profit factor (18.11) and short max drawdown duration.

The key strength for tesla lies in a high win rate and an upward equity trend, signaling potential for growth with disciplined trade selection. Nevertheless, the negative overall PnL and below-average smart score highlight concerns about position sizing or market timing. Tesla’s manual trading approach may limit scalability, and their current low portfolio value suggests cautious or experimental trading rather than aggressive strategies.

Badges

3
Sniper
Win Rate 79%
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Consistent
10/13 days

Categories

5
CRYPTO#843,266$-1Vol: $167
SPORTS#317,184$5Vol: $70
🏛️ POLITICS#300,881$1Vol: $19
💻 TECH#28,724$3Vol: $17
📈 ECONOMICS#87,672$2Vol: $12

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,051
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,439
Total Redeem
$1,129
Portfolio
$35
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
13B / 0S
Daily Volume
$1
Account Age
1200d
since Apr 4, 2023

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,051
Vol: $2,439

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
79%
11W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$-1,054
Win Rate
88%
7W / 1L
Profit Factor
18.11x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15 (87.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

MLB: Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies 2023-04-18$11
Bucks vs. Pelicans$2
Elon forms new party within 1 day of the spending bill passing?$2
Celtics vs. Spurs$2
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?$1
Rockets vs. Suns$1
Will LDP hold the most seats in the House of Councillors followin$0

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 29?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.272
Sortino
-0.131
HHI
8631
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-33.554
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
92.9%
Top-5 markets
96.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
4/24
Normal
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
52s
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
4
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

4 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — typical for humanSize CV 3.33 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern4/24 hours — normal hours

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1
Single entry
<=1
13 entries
<=2
13 entries
<=5
13 entries
<=10
13 entries
<=20
13 entries
<=50
13 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.4%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)84.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 69.2%

Chicago$11
Other$7
Up or Down$-1

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
13

Single bracket

<=1
13 brackets
<=2
13 brackets
<=3
13 brackets
<=4
13 brackets
<=5
13 brackets
<=8
13 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/17/2023, 1:35:04 PM1 trades$1,0620 min
3/29/2025, 3:01:32 PM4 trades$242 min
7/1/2025, 9:52:44 PM4 trades$283 min
9/19/2025, 8:40:18 PM4 trades$293 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-07
01-30
04-06
07-13
07-31
09-20
10-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event