Polydata

@theyseemebuyingtheyhatin

#7,30293

0x900e2ba4b715e8e5088899948355d74c796ff6bf

112d· 527 markets · 1434 tradesVol: $433,0602026-06-01T11:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 99.00x15/15
Sharpe 0.98815/15
Sortino 206162.81710/10
EV $+0.0653/10
HHI 4710/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

theyseemebuyingtheyhatin is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #7302 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $18,271.84. Over 105 days, they executed 1,434 trades across 436 markets, maintaining a perfect 100% win rate. Despite a sizable total volume of $433,060, their portfolio value currently stands at zero, suggesting frequent position closures. The trader holds an elite Smart Score of 93/100, reflecting consistent performance and skill.

This trader specializes exclusively in weather markets, indicating a focused and niche approach within Polymarket. theyseemebuyingtheyhatin appears to exhibit a conservative risk profile, with a modest Sharpe ratio of 0.99 and minimal drawdown duration. Their sell percentage is relatively low at 16%, pointing to a tendency to hold winning positions rather than frequently flipping. The timing pattern suggests disciplined entries, likely aiming to capitalize on short-term weather event outcomes.

Key strengths of theyseemebuyingtheyhatin include a flawless win rate and a strong track record in a specialized market segment, evidenced by badges like Weather Pro and Win Streak. However, the zero profit factor and flat equity trend may indicate limited upside potential or cautious profit-taking. Additionally, the low Bot Score implies mostly manual trading, which could affect scalability and reaction speed compared to automated strategies. Overall, this trader’s consistent and focused style presents both reliability and potential constraints.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+18,272
Weather Pro
100% weather
Win Streak
434 wins in a row
Whale
$311,805
Consistent
98/98 days
High Roller
$2,962/day

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#71$18,272Vol: $433,060

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$18,272
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$433,060
Total Redeem
$297,439
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
527
total markets
Trades
1210B / 224S
Daily Volume
$2,962
Account Age
112d
since Feb 11, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
191W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$17,801
Win Rate
100%
434W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$47
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,917 (9.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 15?$728
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on April 21?$610
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on February 16?$578
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or below on $566
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 38°C or higher on$508
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 25?$465
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 15?$331
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 11?$322
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 5?$292
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on May 24?$277

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.989
Sortino
inf
HHI
47
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.065
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
7.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.6
Active
Markets / Day
4.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 86s — typical for humanSize CV 1.87 — diverse, typical for human23% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.12 — human randomness14 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
234 entries
<=2
304 entries
<=5
382 entries
<=10
419 entries
<=20
433 entries
<=50
436 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.6%
Mid (20-55c)8.4%
High (>55c)88%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 12.8%

Buenos Aires$3,718
Wellington$3,561
Tokyo$2,912
Paris$2,058
Madrid$1,189
Sao Paulo$1,057
Singapore$1,036
Mexico City$1,004
Jakarta$825
Warsaw$629
Lucknow$530
Hong Kong$475
Panama City$462
Cape Town$381
Amsterdam$268
Toronto$83
Istanbul$17

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
294

Single bracket

<=1
196 brackets
<=2
262 brackets
<=3
286 brackets
<=4
291 brackets
<=5
293 brackets
<=8
294 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/14/2026, 11:12:43 AM1 trades$120 min
2/14/2026, 11:24:39 AM4 trades$509 min
2/14/2026, 6:02:21 PM1 trades$2340 min
2/14/2026, 6:19:11 PM1 trades$2590 min
2/14/2026, 10:13:09 PM11 trades$6712 min
2/14/2026, 10:30:29 PM3 trades$282 min
2/14/2026, 10:54:01 PM4 trades$264 min
2/15/2026, 11:14:41 AM1 trades$3740 min
2/15/2026, 11:26:47 AM1 trades$8530 min
2/15/2026, 11:39:57 AM1 trades$290 min
2/15/2026, 3:57:17 PM1 trades$7860 min
2/15/2026, 4:36:19 PM1 trades$8140 min
2/15/2026, 7:02:17 PM1 trades$8330 min
2/16/2026, 2:58:25 PM1 trades$4210 min
2/16/2026, 3:04:43 PM1 trades$9990 min
2/16/2026, 6:02:21 PM1 trades$1,1800 min
2/16/2026, 7:01:47 PM1 trades$1,2460 min
2/17/2026, 6:02:19 PM1 trades$8270 min
2/17/2026, 6:54:43 PM2 trades$1,2562 min
2/19/2026, 6:04:12 PM1 trades$6710 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-14
03-06
03-23
04-08
04-24
05-10
05-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event