Polydata

@timezonewarrior

#2,908,47722

0x8f8c0eb3c2450ae709c2369bb61dd1b049e9e275

88d· 117 markets · 1233 tradesVol: $3,415,4302026-06-23T17:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 46%8/20
Profit Factor 0.59x0/15
HHI 6509/10
Profit Days 48%4/10
DD/Peak 380%0/10

Summary

Timezonewarrior is an active trader on Polymarket with 1,233 trades across 117 markets over 109 days. Despite a high volume of $3.4 million traded, their net PnL stands at a significant loss of $334,026.88, placing them at rank #2,908,477 globally. Their portfolio value is low at $79.90, and their smart score is 22/100, indicating below-average performance relative to peers.

The trader shows a preference for long-term holding strategies, as suggested by badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master, and a 0% sell rate. Timezonewarrior has a high win rate of 76.7% and a profit factor of 2.63, implying many winning trades with good reward-to-risk ratios. However, the Sharpe ratio of -0.16 and negative overall PnL suggest that despite frequent wins, occasional large losses have heavily impacted profitability. Their trading style appears contrarian, aligning with the Contrarian badge, and they maintain an upward equity trend despite the losses.

Timezonewarrior’s strengths include disciplined position sizing and a high frequency of successful trades, which help sustain an upward equity trend. However, the substantial net loss and low portfolio value raise concerns about risk management and capital preservation. The negative Sharpe ratio highlights volatility and possible exposure to unfavorable market moves. These factors combined suggest that while timezonewarrior employs a consistent strategy on Polymarket, there are significant risks that could undermine long-term profitability.

Badges

6
Contrarian
61% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 10.5 entries/market
Win Streak
27 wins in a row
Whale
$1,730,160
High Roller
$15,873/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,743,249$-334,027Vol: $3,415,430

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-334,027
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,415,430
Total Redeem
$1,397,554
Portfolio
$80
Predictions
117
total markets
Trades
1233B / 0S
Daily Volume
$15,873
Account Age
88d
since Mar 30, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-8
Vol: $0
Week
$-12
Vol: $0
Month
$138,485
Vol: $307,069
All Time
$-334,027
Vol: $3,415,430

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
47%
52W / 58L events
Realized PnL
$339,346
Win Rate
77%
56W / 17L
Profit Factor
2.63x
Avg Win
$12,152
Avg Loss
$-15,202

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $407,946 (96.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Sabres vs. Bruins$181,700
Stars vs. Wild$154,100
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main C$72,145
UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Mai$49,945
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelim$35,723
Avalanche vs. Wild$34,512
UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, $24,693
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's$18,356
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens$13,367
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight$12,166

Top Losers

Stars vs. Wild$-127,505
Senators vs. Hurricanes$-72,050
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)$-21,023
Bruins vs. Panthers$-18,312
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Rafa Garcia (Lightweight$-5,950
Red Wings vs. Panthers$-5,462
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, E$-2,784
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Cristina Bucsa$-1,384
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Maria Lourde$-1,323
The Masters 2026: Hole in One?$-1,321

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.163
Sortino
-0.152
HHI
650
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.550
Kelly %
52.5%
Half-Kelly
26.2%
Top-1 market
11.6%
Top-5 markets
48.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.3m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 254s — typical for humanSize CV 8.49 — diverse, typical for human10% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.05 — human randomness15 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
50 entries
<=2
64 entries
<=5
78 entries
<=10
92 entries
<=20
104 entries
<=50
112 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)79.6%
High (>55c)19.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0.7%

Other$418,211
Madrid$3,650
Miami$204
Atlanta$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
115

Single bracket

<=1
113 brackets
<=2
115 brackets
<=3
115 brackets
<=4
115 brackets
<=5
115 brackets
<=8
115 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/31/2026, 2:42:11 PM1 trades$10 min
3/31/2026, 3:45:01 PM1 trades$580 min
3/31/2026, 4:09:45 PM1 trades$220 min
4/1/2026, 2:20:09 AM1 trades$30 min
4/2/2026, 1:34:51 PM1 trades$18,3120 min
4/2/2026, 8:58:59 PM1 trades$4590 min
4/3/2026, 1:48:27 AM2 trades$402 min
4/3/2026, 6:31:39 PM1 trades$4,9010 min
4/4/2026, 2:35:15 PM1 trades$4,3200 min
4/4/2026, 4:10:43 PM11 trades$1,24411 min
4/5/2026, 7:12:09 PM1 trades$1,2310 min
4/5/2026, 9:57:03 PM1 trades$20 min
4/5/2026, 10:46:49 PM1 trades$380 min
4/6/2026, 4:39:07 PM3 trades$71 min
4/6/2026, 6:55:19 PM1 trades$80 min
4/6/2026, 10:48:27 PM1 trades$20 min
4/6/2026, 11:24:35 PM1 trades$1,2840 min
4/7/2026, 3:20:17 AM1 trades$440 min
4/7/2026, 3:51:45 AM1 trades$4430 min
4/7/2026, 4:15:21 AM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-02
04-19
05-03
05-12
05-20
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event