Polydata

@trezorisbest

#8074

0x0562c423912e325f83fa79df55085979e1f5594f

723d· 19 markets · 4806 tradesVol: $5,182,3012026-07-12T14:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

74
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 63%17/20
Profit Factor 226.55x15/15
Sharpe 0.3326/15
Sortino 65.03010/10
EV $+3.78710/10
HHI 45430/10
Profit Days 56%6/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Trezorisbest is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #80 on the global profit and loss leaderboard. Over 430 days, they have executed 4,806 trades across 19 markets, generating a net PnL of nearly $1.9 million from a total volume exceeding $5.1 million. Their Smart Score of 74/100 signals very good trading performance, supported by a solid win rate of 63.2% and an exceptionally high profit factor of 226.55.

The trading style of trezorisbest appears focused on steady, strategic participation rather than high-frequency or high-risk moves. They maintain a low sell percentage of 4%, indicating a preference for holding positions, consistent with their "Diamond Hands" badge and low max drawdown duration. Their portfolio equity trend is stable, and the Sharpe ratio of 0.33 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns. They do not engage in weather markets and show contrarian tendencies, likely leveraging market inefficiencies through timing and disciplined dollar-cost averaging.

Trezorisbest’s key strengths lie in their disciplined approach, consistent profitability, and ability to manage drawdowns effectively. However, their moderate Sharpe ratio and flat equity trend might signal limited upside during volatile conditions. The low bot score suggests manual trading, which may limit scalability but allows for nuanced decision-making. Overall, trezorisbest is a reliable trader with a balanced risk profile on Polymarket.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+1,900,869
Contrarian
77% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
4% sell
DCA Master
avg 243.8 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Whale
$931,720
High Roller
$2,167/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#19$1,901,366Vol: $5,173,700
SPORTS#1,793,738$-1,118Vol: $4,198
🎭 CULTURE#16,112$151Vol: $2,738
CRYPTO#43,454$470Vol: $1,664

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,900,869
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,182,301
Total Redeem
$4,419,534
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
4632B / 174S
Daily Volume
$2,167
Account Age
723d
since Jul 19, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
69%
9W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$1,900,869
Win Rate
63%
12W / 7L
Profit Factor
226.55x
Avg Win
$295,314
Avg Loss
$-2,235

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,377,319 (95.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$2,398,471
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$702,703
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $276,145
Trump wins every swing state?$115,406
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential E$43,053
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$3,578
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$2,730
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?$515
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 3?$470
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?$441

Top Losers

GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?$-5,326
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$-3,137
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?$-2,637
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154$-2,098
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?$-1,700
Aspinall vs. Gane$-498
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$-247

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.332
Sortino
65.030
HHI
4543
Concentrated
EV per $1
$3.787
Kelly %
56.1%
Half-Kelly
28.1%
Top-1 market
64.7%
Top-5 markets
93.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.6m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
11.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastSize CV 11.76 — diverse, typical for human19% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.10 — human randomness11 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
243.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
1 entries
<=2
2 entries
<=5
4 entries
<=10
6 entries
<=20
8 entries
<=50
8 entries
>50
11 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24%
Mid (20-55c)53%
High (>55c)23%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 99%

Other$3,527,660
Up or Down$470

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
13

Single bracket

<=1
10 brackets
<=2
11 brackets
<=3
12 brackets
<=4
13 brackets
<=5
13 brackets
<=8
13 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
8/23/2024, 3:44:20 PM1 trades$140 min
8/23/2024, 4:13:34 PM1 trades$4350 min
8/27/2024, 3:42:49 PM1 trades$3870 min
10/5/2024, 3:18:16 PM4 trades$14,4680 min
10/5/2024, 7:12:59 PM7 trades$1,5002 min
10/22/2024, 1:10:25 AM1 trades$170 min
10/22/2024, 1:27:21 AM7 trades$4,0613 min
10/22/2024, 1:36:17 AM5 trades$5,5548 min
10/22/2024, 1:50:51 AM9 trades$10913 min
10/22/2024, 2:18:36 AM6 trades$17712 min
10/22/2024, 2:36:28 AM7 trades$5852 min
10/22/2024, 2:46:04 AM6 trades$3247 min
10/22/2024, 3:07:40 AM4 trades$1056 min
10/22/2024, 3:20:59 AM10 trades$2,3986 min
10/22/2024, 3:51:37 AM1 trades$1430 min
10/22/2024, 4:06:57 AM6 trades$6615 min
10/22/2024, 4:28:47 AM6 trades$467 min
10/22/2024, 4:42:45 AM1 trades$10 min
10/22/2024, 4:52:11 AM1 trades$50 min
10/22/2024, 6:32:22 AM2 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-04
11-05
01-31
04-28
06-30
07-03
08-15
11-01
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 243.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event