Polydata

@vtat

#4,4541

0x7b0b3850eb4a00289a6e00097bc4daeec39cc3df

~104d· 189 markets · 14132 tradesVol: $25,805,697 @vlad_tarantino2026-07-31 13:21:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

1
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (47/160)0/20
0.39x (win $21,853 / loss $56,191)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6660/15
Sortino -2.6860/10
$-0.1054 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2700 (160 markets)0/10
19/57 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 2319% of peak ($31,454 / $1,356)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+38,591
Lottery Player
69% entries < $0.20
Whale
$325,861 invested
High Roller
$1,544/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders

Categories

8
SPORTS#2,296$25,531Vol: $13,552,900
🏛️ POLITICS#2,783$14,737Vol: $11,339,965
CRYPTO#1,618,489$-1,124Vol: $820,719
🎭 CULTURE#11,604$270Vol: $34,802
💰 FINANCE#634,822$-125Vol: $30,536
💻 TECH#248,205$-100Vol: $17,649
🌤️ WEATHER#264,047$-25Vol: $3,000
📢 MENTIONS#158,856$-63Vol: $888

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$38,543
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,805,697
Total Redeem
$100
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
189
total markets
Trades
9714B / 4418S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~104d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $1,052
Week
$-4
Vol: $33,838
Month
$37,531
Vol: $9,049,037
All Time
$38,543
Vol: $25,805,697

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
29%
47W / 113L events
Realized PnL
$38,591
Win Rate
29%
47W / 113L
Profit Factor
0.39x
Avg Win
$465
Avg Loss
$-685

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,947 (0.28366453152301757% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4,741
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$3,979
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$2,226
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1,839
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$1,548
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$1,221
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$1,169
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$915
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$551
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$520

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-8,138
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7,884
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7,657
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,436
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,532
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-4,236
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-3,029
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-2,191
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,040
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,273

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.138
Sortino
-0.113
HHI
121
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.215
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6%
Top-5 markets
19.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
67.0
Very active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
8.8m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
54.1

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 6.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock67 trades/day — mass trading0.9 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
72.42
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)69.3%
Mid (20-55c)2.5%
High (>55c)28.2%

Sessions

#12
7/9/2026, 1:23:43 AM2 trades$900,0000 min
5/9/2026, 6:05:43 PM173 trades$831,40291 min
6/17/2026, 11:38:29 PM56 trades$83,1973 min
7/16/2026, 12:20:44 PM179 trades$54,79619 min
7/13/2026, 8:05:04 PM404 trades$35,25331 min
6/18/2026, 12:14:10 AM19 trades$30,8153 min
7/16/2026, 12:50:47 PM81 trades$28,14414 min
7/13/2026, 7:48:38 PM179 trades$27,6089 min
7/14/2026, 12:41:46 AM141 trades$19,96227 min
7/13/2026, 7:19:55 PM209 trades$16,27521 min
7/16/2026, 12:08:29 PM57 trades$11,4257 min
7/13/2026, 8:44:19 PM64 trades$10,7802 min
5/1/2026, 10:00:22 AM22 trades$10,66230 min
5/9/2026, 12:53:10 PM10 trades$10,00110 min
5/1/2026, 9:51:16 AM4 trades$10,0000 min
7/13/2026, 7:04:26 PM85 trades$9,2988 min
7/13/2026, 6:48:55 PM122 trades$8,04310 min
6/17/2026, 1:42:25 PM12 trades$7,6651 min
7/13/2026, 9:45:16 PM93 trades$7,1744 min
5/18/2026, 9:35:26 AM4 trades$6,6000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2025-12-31 00:00:00
2026-02-01 05:00:00
2026-03-02 21:00:00
2026-03-31 13:43:23
2026-05-14 21:00:00
2026-06-07 00:00:00
2026-08-31 00:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 72.42/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L69.3 / M2.5 / H28.2