@willydh
#3,066,014380x4910842d27c641e6c23c6680c115da4db100c095
~148d· 52 markets · 4452 tradesVol: $1,875,1342026-07-31 15:29:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
73% (33/45)20/20
0.31x (win $31,815 / loss $103,411)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3570/15
Sortino -3.3380/10
$-0.0654 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 716 (45 markets)8.9/10
22/34 profitable days (65%)8.7/10
Max DD 2927% of peak ($81,942 / $2,800)0/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 73%
DCA Master
Avg 70.9 entries/market
Whale
$1,095,039 invested
Consistent
22/34 profitable days
High Roller
$1,464/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#3,391$11,426Vol: $1,023,634
₿ CRYPTO#1,671,507$-56,634Vol: $359,552
💰 FINANCE#656,356$-6,814Vol: $285,474
🎭 CULTURE#806,960$-642Vol: $114,565
📈 ECONOMICS#4,523$554Vol: $75,384
⚽ SPORTS#1,763,797$-292Vol: $1,300
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-51,493
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,875,134
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
3130B / 1322S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~148d
Periods
#2Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$-15
Vol: $0
Month
$1,013
Vol: $74,998
All Time
$-51,493
Vol: $1,875,134
PnL Analysis
#3Win Rate (events)
73%
33W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-51,493
Win Rate
73%
33W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.31x
Avg Win
$964
Avg Loss
$-8,618
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,913 (0.2507762652847407% of PnL)
Top Winners
Trump out as President by June 30?$5,178
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$5,011
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$2,723
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2,697
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$2,367
Ethereum all time high in 2024?$2,330
Trump out as President by March 31?$1,655
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?$1,170
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1,095
GPT-5 not announced in 2024?$910
Top Losers
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-71,551
No Solana all time high in 2024?$-8,982
Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$-7,778
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$-5,883
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-5,527
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$-1,791
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? $-1,345
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?$-262
Will Biden finish his term?$-96
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$-89
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.173
Sortino
-0.109
HHI
549
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.078
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.8%
Top-5 markets
45.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.4m
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.5
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 133s — normal for humanCV 4.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal85% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 4:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
70.87
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.8%
Mid (20-55c)11.1%
High (>55c)87.1%
Sessions
#1211/8/2025, 3:31:53 AM9 trades$79,6899 min
7/5/2026, 4:55:40 AM248 trades$46,723273 min
2/8/2026, 9:25:27 PM2 trades$45,3930 min
3/16/2026, 12:21:47 AM31 trades$40,38317 min
11/8/2025, 3:49:27 AM17 trades$38,99512 min
5/18/2026, 9:13:31 AM2 trades$37,4000 min
1/3/2026, 9:24:27 AM27 trades$35,95824 min
12/1/2025, 6:03:04 AM5 trades$31,9181 min
5/20/2026, 6:53:33 AM14 trades$28,6361 min
9/17/2025, 8:41:28 AM1 trades$28,2000 min
3/15/2026, 10:37:49 PM1 trades$24,5070 min
12/22/2025, 6:53:38 AM8 trades$21,7807 min
11/4/2025, 2:07:25 AM17 trades$21,75321 min
3/15/2026, 2:05:09 PM1 trades$21,5640 min
2/9/2026, 3:04:07 AM5 trades$20,8855 min
5/21/2026, 1:04:37 AM15 trades$20,1320 min
1/20/2026, 3:39:28 AM39 trades$19,88014 min
12/21/2025, 7:37:04 AM5 trades$18,7431 min
3/18/2026, 11:41:57 PM11 trades$17,8815 min
5/26/2026, 8:15:25 PM3 trades$16,4336 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-28
09-27
11-04
11-10
12-20
01-23
03-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 557 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 70.87/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.8 / M11.1 / H87.1