Polydata
Data is 8 days old — refreshing in background...
xoz

@xoz

#117,90739

0xad592c5313ef97a5687ee6fdb5cd57f26784cb41

314d· 170 markets · 354 tradesVol: $119,7672026-06-19T22:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 51%11/20
Profit Factor 1.13x4/15
Sharpe 0.0421/15
Sortino 0.0531/10
EV $+0.50610/10
HHI 28510/10
Profit Days 43%3/10
DD/Peak 85%0/10

Summary

Trader xoz is a moderately active participant on Polymarket, with 354 trades executed across 170 different markets over 316 days. They hold a global PnL rank of 117,907, reflecting a net profit of $412.58 on a total trading volume of nearly $120,000. Despite the positive net PnL, xoz’s Smart Score is 39/100, indicating below-average overall performance relative to other traders. Their portfolio value stands at $813.19, and the equity trend shows a recent decline.

xoz’s trading style appears cautious and moderately contrarian, with a win rate just under 50% and a profit factor of 1.12, suggesting slightly more profitable trades than losses. They do not focus on weather markets and tend to hold positions rather than frequently selling, with a sell percentage of 38%. The low Sharpe ratio of 0.04 indicates minimal risk-adjusted returns, and the zero-day max drawdown duration suggests limited prolonged capital exposure to losses. Their activity suggests manual trading rather than automated strategies.

The key strength for xoz lies in maintaining a positive net PnL and demonstrating contrarian instincts, which can uncover undervalued opportunities on Polymarket. However, the low Smart and Bot Scores, coupled with a downward equity trend, point to potential weaknesses in adapting to market shifts and optimizing trade timing. Without improvement, these factors may limit xoz’s ability to achieve consistent, long-term profitability.

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+413
Contrarian
52% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

6
SPORTS#50,211$510Vol: $64,823
🏛️ POLITICS#1,525,785$-201Vol: $20,279
🎭 CULTURE#33,197$41Vol: $12,933
📢 MENTIONS#150,864$-60Vol: $6,829
📈 ECONOMICS#13,499$72Vol: $5,184
CRYPTO#1,211,681$-21Vol: $1,816

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$413
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$119,767
Total Redeem
$1,253
Portfolio
$813
Predictions
170
total markets
Trades
218B / 136S
Daily Volume
$120
Account Age
314d
since Aug 17, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$-583
Vol: $4,894
Month
$-583
Vol: $4,894
All Time
$413
Vol: $119,767

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
52%
62W / 57L events
Realized PnL
$381
Win Rate
50%
84W / 85L
Profit Factor
1.12x
Avg Win
$42
Avg Loss
$-37

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $757 (197.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?$314
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$226
Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5$217
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 5.5$165
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$153
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?$153
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 5.5$153
RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5$140
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)$125
Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5$123

Top Losers

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-604
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5$-431
Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5$-314
US government shutdown by October 1?$-275
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?$-272
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5$-86
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$-81
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 10+ times at Charlie Kirk$-72
Will Trump say Erdogan / Turkey during Netanyahu events on Septem$-66
Will Trump say "Shield" during events with UK Prime Minister on S$-62

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.042
Sortino
0.053
HHI
285
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.506
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.6%
Top-5 markets
21%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 560s — typical for humanSize CV 2.24 — diverse, typical for human1% at night — normal sleep pattern21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.06 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.3
Single entry
<=1
145 entries
<=2
163 entries
<=5
168 entries
<=10
169 entries
<=20
170 entries
<=50
170 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.4%
Mid (20-55c)37.6%
High (>55c)39%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 23.7%

Other$280
Milan$153
Paris$46
NC$-5
Madrid$-91

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
120

Single bracket

<=1
95 brackets
<=2
108 brackets
<=3
115 brackets
<=4
116 brackets
<=5
117 brackets
<=8
120 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
8/17/2025, 8:37:28 AM1 trades$200 min
8/17/2025, 8:45:58 AM1 trades$150 min
8/17/2025, 10:40:24 AM1 trades$150 min
8/17/2025, 11:42:10 AM2 trades$271 min
8/24/2025, 9:08:21 PM1 trades$1010 min
8/31/2025, 8:32:08 PM2 trades$75 min
9/2/2025, 5:11:50 PM1 trades$30 min
9/3/2025, 6:00:28 AM2 trades$60 min
9/4/2025, 2:32:54 PM1 trades$260 min
9/4/2025, 2:42:28 PM2 trades$481 min
9/5/2025, 8:19:28 AM2 trades$810 min
9/8/2025, 8:33:56 PM1 trades$1580 min
9/9/2025, 2:21:32 PM1 trades$1570 min
9/9/2025, 3:05:34 PM1 trades$1360 min
9/9/2025, 9:35:24 PM1 trades$1620 min
9/10/2025, 6:36:45 PM1 trades$1640 min
9/10/2025, 6:47:05 PM7 trades$8012 min
9/10/2025, 8:51:05 PM1 trades$840 min
9/12/2025, 10:24:59 AM3 trades$201 min
9/13/2025, 4:42:38 PM1 trades$1200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
09-17
10-01
02-16
03-24
04-15
05-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event