Polydata
xoz

@xoz

#82,82543

0xad592c5313ef97a5687ee6fdb5cd57f26784cb41

273d· 165 markets · 341 tradesVol: $106,8722026-05-16T09:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 51%10/20
Profit Factor 1.30x6/15
Sharpe 0.0962/15
Sortino 0.1401/10
EV $+7.18110/10
HHI 32410/10
Profit Days 44%4/10
DD/Peak 88%0/10

Summary

The trader xoz is moderately active on Polymarket, having executed 341 trades across 165 markets over 316 days. With a net profit of $765.23 and a rank of #82,825 on the global PnL leaderboard, xoz maintains an average Smart Score of 43/100. Their total trading volume is $106,872, indicating a consistent level of market participation. Despite the portfolio value currently being zero, the trader shows an upward equity trend and has a Sharpe ratio of 0.10, reflecting modest risk-adjusted returns.

xoz tends to adopt a balanced trading style, with a win rate just above 50% and a profit factor of 1.37. They do not engage in weather markets and have a relatively low sell percentage of 39%, suggesting a preference for holding positions rather than frequent flipping. The absence of automated trading (bot score of 5/100) confirms manual involvement. Their trading behavior appears contrarian, as indicated by the badges earned, and they demonstrate a steady approach without prolonged drawdowns, given their max drawdown duration is zero days.

The strengths of xoz lie in consistent profitability and an upward portfolio trajectory, supported by a contrarian edge that may help identify undervalued opportunities. However, their moderate Sharpe ratio and average Smart Score suggest limited risk management sophistication and potential vulnerability during volatile market conditions. Overall, xoz’s manual, measured approach makes them a steady if unspectacular participant in the Polymarket ecosystem.

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+765
Contrarian
54% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

6
SPORTS#35,145$933Vol: $59,831
🏛️ POLITICS#1,470,951$-201Vol: $20,279
🎭 CULTURE#31,413$41Vol: $12,933
📢 MENTIONS#146,446$-60Vol: $6,829
📈 ECONOMICS#12,850$72Vol: $5,184
CRYPTO#1,156,650$-21Vol: $1,816

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$765
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$106,872
Total Redeem
$1,253
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
165
total markets
Trades
209B / 132S
Daily Volume
$102
Account Age
273d
since Aug 17, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-49
Vol: $10,908
Month
$465
Vol: $11,604
All Time
$765
Vol: $106,872

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
52%
59W / 55L events
Realized PnL
$859
Win Rate
51%
82W / 79L
Profit Factor
1.37x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $757 (87.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?$314
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$226
Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5$217
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?$153
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?$153
RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5$140
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)$125
Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5$123
Getafe CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5$120
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score$116

Top Losers

Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5$-431
Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5$-314
US government shutdown by October 1?$-275
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?$-272
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$-81
Will Trump say "Terrible" or "Horrible" 10+ times at Charlie Kirk$-72
Will Trump say Erdogan / Turkey during Netanyahu events on Septem$-66
Will Trump say "Shield" during events with UK Prime Minister on S$-62
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$-61
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-53

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.096
Sortino
0.140
HHI
324
Diversified
EV per $1
$7.181
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
24.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 554s — typical for humanSize CV 2.36 — diverse, typical for human1% at night — normal sleep pattern21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.06 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.3
Single entry
<=1
141 entries
<=2
159 entries
<=5
163 entries
<=10
164 entries
<=20
165 entries
<=50
165 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.4%
Mid (20-55c)39.2%
High (>55c)36.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 19%

Other$854
Paris$46
NC$-5
Madrid$-34

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
115

Single bracket

<=1
90 brackets
<=2
103 brackets
<=3
110 brackets
<=4
111 brackets
<=5
112 brackets
<=8
115 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
8/17/2025, 8:37:28 AM1 trades$200 min
8/17/2025, 8:45:58 AM1 trades$150 min
8/17/2025, 10:40:24 AM1 trades$150 min
8/17/2025, 11:42:10 AM2 trades$271 min
8/24/2025, 9:08:21 PM1 trades$1010 min
8/31/2025, 8:32:08 PM2 trades$75 min
9/2/2025, 5:11:50 PM1 trades$30 min
9/3/2025, 6:00:28 AM2 trades$60 min
9/4/2025, 2:32:54 PM1 trades$260 min
9/4/2025, 2:42:28 PM2 trades$481 min
9/5/2025, 8:19:28 AM2 trades$810 min
9/8/2025, 8:33:56 PM1 trades$1580 min
9/9/2025, 2:21:32 PM1 trades$1570 min
9/9/2025, 3:05:34 PM1 trades$1360 min
9/9/2025, 9:35:24 PM1 trades$1620 min
9/10/2025, 6:36:45 PM1 trades$1640 min
9/10/2025, 6:47:05 PM7 trades$8012 min
9/10/2025, 8:51:05 PM1 trades$840 min
9/12/2025, 10:24:59 AM3 trades$201 min
9/13/2025, 4:42:38 PM1 trades$1200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
09-17
10-01
02-16
03-24
04-15
05-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event