Polydata

@xuanxuan008

#1,11563

0xcfb103c37c0234f524c632d964ed31f117b5f694

86d· 17776 markets · 13699 tradesVol: $16,979,7092026-06-29T11:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 33%1/20
Profit Factor 2.78x15/15
Sharpe 0.3036/15
Sortino 1.34010/10
EV $+10.84910/10
HHI 1610/10
Profit Days 49%5/10
DD/Peak 39%6/10

Summary

xuanxuan008 is an active trader on Polymarket, holding the rank of #1115 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 84 days, they executed 13,699 trades across 1,148 markets, generating a net profit of $166,478.26 from a total trading volume nearing $17 million. Their portfolio value remains modest at $9.90, reflecting a focus on steady trading rather than large position sizes. The trader’s Sharpe ratio of 0.30 and a good Smart Score of 63 indicate moderate risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of xuanxuan008 leans heavily on automated strategies, as suggested by a high Bot Score of 85 and badges like "Bot" and "DCA Master." Their win rate of 68.4% suggests a consistent approach, likely employing dollar-cost averaging and maintaining positions without selling, as indicated by a 0% sell rate. xuanxuan008 appears to prefer a wide range of markets but avoids weather-related ones, focusing instead on steady, incremental gains with minimal drawdown periods.

Key strengths for xuanxuan008 include disciplined execution and strong consistency, supported by a notable winning streak and zero days of max drawdown duration. However, the low profit factor of 0.19 and a flat equity trend highlight potential limitations in maximizing gains relative to losses. The reliance on automated trading may expose the trader to systematic risks if market conditions shift abruptly. Overall, xuanxuan008 demonstrates solid performance on Polymarket with a cautious yet effective strategy.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+166,478
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 11.9 entries/market
Bot
Score 85/100
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
Whale
$458,221
High Roller
$5,455/day

Categories

2
CRYPTO#167$166,478Vol: $16,979,638
🏛️ POLITICS#375,623$0Vol: $70

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$166,478
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,979,709
Total Redeem
$1,044
Portfolio
$10
Predictions
17776
total markets
Trades
13677B / 22S
Daily Volume
$5,455
Account Age
86d
since Apr 6, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$109
Vol: $24,959
Week
$109
Vol: $47,486
Month
$14,004
Vol: $1,997,755
All Time
$166,478
Vol: $16,979,709

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
33%
376W / 771L events
Realized PnL
$72,227
Win Rate
68%
173W / 80L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-126

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$77
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$62
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$32
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$32

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$-2,180
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$-2,022
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$-1,601
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$-1,385
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$-1,296
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$-1,250
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$-14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.303
Sortino
1.339
HHI
16
Diversified
EV per $1
$10.849
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.7%
Top-5 markets
2.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
163.2
Very active
Markets / Day
13.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
12s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.1m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.7

Bot Detection

#6
85
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 12s — suspiciously fastSize CV 1.04 — diverse, typical for human31% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.09 — human randomness163 trades/day — automation14 markets/day — mass coverage1151 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
6 entries
<=2
87 entries
<=5
204 entries
<=10
511 entries
<=20
1042 entries
<=50
1147 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.1%
Mid (20-55c)52.3%
High (>55c)38.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 51.5%

Other$-8,157

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1148

Single bracket

<=1
1148 brackets
<=2
1148 brackets
<=3
1148 brackets
<=4
1148 brackets
<=5
1148 brackets
<=8
1148 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/6/2026, 12:45:07 PM22 trades$7564 min
4/6/2026, 1:10:07 PM6 trades$2127 min
4/6/2026, 3:00:05 PM36 trades$57711 min
4/6/2026, 3:40:07 PM13 trades$1934 min
4/6/2026, 7:30:39 PM14 trades$4364 min
4/6/2026, 7:50:03 PM32 trades$7318 min
4/6/2026, 8:35:05 PM14 trades$4093 min
4/6/2026, 9:05:05 PM4 trades$850 min
4/6/2026, 11:37:07 PM4 trades$820 min
4/7/2026, 12:31:13 AM4 trades$601 min
4/7/2026, 1:13:09 AM8 trades$2841 min
4/7/2026, 1:25:07 AM12 trades$4454 min
4/7/2026, 1:50:07 AM6 trades$2380 min
4/7/2026, 2:07:17 AM4 trades$510 min
4/7/2026, 3:25:41 AM4 trades$570 min
4/7/2026, 5:20:09 AM2 trades$760 min
4/7/2026, 6:20:03 AM24 trades$8734 min
4/7/2026, 6:55:09 AM16 trades$8534 min
4/7/2026, 8:15:03 AM8 trades$1344 min
4/7/2026, 8:40:03 AM16 trades$5455 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-06
04-17
04-28
05-09
05-21
06-10
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event