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@zhaoyue8

#2,707,37821

0x8479b3d24ecf6799fa4febc3c98159b7149640df

~33d· 162 markets · 1728 tradesVol: $2,218,2522026-06-15T16:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 47%8/20
Profit Factor 1.00x2/15
HHI 9910/10
Profit Days 32%1/10
DD/Peak 640%0/10

Summary

zhaoyue8 is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having executed 1,728 trades across 162 markets over 33 days. Despite a high volume of $2.2 million, their net PnL stands at -$808, ranking them #2,707,378 globally, with a below-average Smart Score of 21/100. Their portfolio value is currently zero, reflecting an overall loss. The trader’s win rate is exceptionally high at 97.4%, but this has not translated into profitability, as indicated by a negative Sharpe ratio and a very high profit factor of 93.44.

The trader appears to favor a contrarian strategy, as suggested by their Contrarian badge, combined with a Diamond Hands and DCA Master profile, indicating a preference for holding positions and dollar-cost averaging. Their trades involve minimal selling (5%), and they show no interest in weather-related markets. zhaoyue8’s activity pattern is consistent with a semi-bot approach, blending automated and manual trading, with no extended drawdowns and an upward equity trend, implying disciplined timing despite the losses.

Key strengths for zhaoyue8 include a strong win streak and disciplined trade execution, supported by a semi-automated strategy that minimizes drawdown duration. However, the large negative PnL despite a high win rate suggests potential issues with risk management or trade sizing, raising concerns about sustainability. The trader’s low Smart and Bot scores further highlight risks related to strategy efficiency and adaptability within Polymarket’s dynamic environment.

Badges

6
Contrarian
56% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
5% sell
DCA Master
avg 10.1 entries/market
Win Streak
47 wins in a row
Whale
$733,511
High Roller
$22,228/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,682,450$-2,930Vol: $83,392

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-808
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,218,252
Total Redeem
$117,215
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
162
total markets
Trades
1636B / 92S
Daily Volume
$22,228
Account Age
~33d

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
40%
40W / 60L events
Realized PnL
$344,550
Win Rate
97%
75W / 2L
Profit Factor
93.44x
Avg Win
$4,703
Avg Loss
$-1,887

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $44,438 (12.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner$15,228
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$15,152
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner$14,058
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$13,102
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner$13,015
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - DreamLeague Group B$12,495
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner$11,467
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner$11,202
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$9,786
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner$9,408

Top Losers

Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$-2,212
Dota 2: PlayTime vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$-1,563

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.001
Sortino
-0.001
HHI
100
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
94.7%
Half-Kelly
47.3%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
10.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
52.9
Very active
Markets / Day
5.0
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.7m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.4

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
53% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 2.60 — diverse, typical for human3% at night — normal sleep pattern21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.29 — human randomness53 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
33 entries
<=2
53 entries
<=5
80 entries
<=10
114 entries
<=20
140 entries
<=50
159 entries
>50
3 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.5%
Mid (20-55c)66.9%
High (>55c)27.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 22.7%

Other$346,917
Paris$2,028

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.6
Events covered
100

Single bracket

<=1
54 brackets
<=2
85 brackets
<=3
99 brackets
<=4
100 brackets
<=5
100 brackets
<=8
100 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/20/2026, 12:20:46 PM2 trades$1,2551 min
4/20/2026, 6:42:48 PM23 trades$7,32210 min
4/20/2026, 7:35:32 PM10 trades$11,9503 min
4/21/2026, 1:18:18 AM21 trades$15,4345 min
4/21/2026, 7:17:48 AM17 trades$3,4364 min
4/21/2026, 7:30:12 AM26 trades$7,3658 min
4/21/2026, 8:02:22 AM10 trades$39,76513 min
4/21/2026, 8:23:26 AM1 trades$1,1910 min
4/21/2026, 9:07:16 AM1 trades$20,6300 min
4/21/2026, 9:23:08 AM41 trades$13,9894 min
4/21/2026, 10:17:06 AM6 trades$561 min
4/21/2026, 10:32:40 AM1 trades$2,3520 min
4/21/2026, 10:39:42 AM10 trades$2,6331 min
4/21/2026, 10:48:50 AM9 trades$6,4192 min
4/21/2026, 11:31:30 AM1 trades$1,9720 min
4/22/2026, 12:12:00 AM7 trades$3,8131 min
4/22/2026, 5:25:32 AM1 trades$7,4690 min
4/22/2026, 7:11:04 AM1 trades$7,4800 min
4/22/2026, 8:02:30 AM1 trades$15,5680 min
4/22/2026, 8:10:16 AM32 trades$4,8483 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-20
04-28
05-05
05-09
05-14
05-18
05-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.6 br/event