Polydata

@zxgngl

#1175

0xd235973291b2b75ff4070e9c0b01728c520b0f29

633d· 8 markets · 1413 tradesVol: $40,551,7912026-07-03T06:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 88%20/20
Profit Factor 3.14x15/15
Sharpe 0.2986/15
Sortino 1951816397.31810/10
EV $+2.14410/10
HHI 53570/10
Profit Days 75%10/10
DD/Peak 47%5/10

Summary

Trader zxgngl is a highly active participant on Polymarket, ranking #11 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of over $7.8 million. Over 133 days, zxgngl completed 1,413 trades across 8 different markets, generating a total volume exceeding $40.5 million. Their smart score of 75/100 indicates very strong trading performance, supported by a flawless 100% win rate, though the profit factor reads as zero, which may reflect data nuances.

zxgngl’s trading style appears focused and disciplined, with no recorded sell transactions and zero activity in weather markets. The trader is likely conservative with risk, demonstrated by a modest Sharpe ratio of 0.30 and zero max drawdown duration, implying effective risk management. The presence of badges such as Sniper and DCA Master suggest a strategy emphasizing precise entries and dollar-cost averaging, while the perfect win rate points to selective, confident timing.

The main strength of zxgngl lies in consistent profitability and strong execution on Polymarket, leveraging disciplined trade selection and risk controls. However, the absence of portfolio value and the unusual profit factor signal potential data or reporting peculiarities. Additionally, a reliance on few markets and zero sell activity might limit adaptability in changing conditions, posing a risk if market dynamics shift suddenly.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 88%
Profitable
PnL $+7,807,266
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 176.2 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Whale
$3,196,458
Consistent
3/4 days
High Roller
$24,034/day

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#3$11,447,932Vol: $29,473,480
CRYPTO#97,896$91Vol: $933

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,807,266
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$40,551,791
Total Redeem
$29,473,349
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8
total markets
Trades
1410B / 3S
Daily Volume
$24,034
Account Age
633d
since Oct 9, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
80%
4W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$11,448,023
Win Rate
100%
7W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$3,921,020
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $27,447,114 (100% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$27,447,048
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?$37
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in November?$29
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?$14
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in November?$11
Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 3.0%-4.0%? $1
Will there be another debate?$0

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.298
Sortino
inf
HHI
5357
Concentrated
EV per $1
$2.144
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
63.4%
Top-5 markets
100%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
44.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.0m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
24
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
58.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
43% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 4.09 — diverse, typical for human21% at night — different timezone?14/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.46 — human randomness44 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
176.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
5 entries
<=2
5 entries
<=5
6 entries
<=10
6 entries
<=20
6 entries
<=50
6 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)31.5%
High (>55c)68.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 100%

Other$27,447,140

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.6
Events covered
5

Single bracket

<=1
4 brackets
<=2
4 brackets
<=3
4 brackets
<=4
5 brackets
<=5
5 brackets
<=8
5 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/15/2024, 5:11:07 AM1 trades$100 min
11/4/2024, 10:25:56 PM724 trades$1,203,75037 min
11/5/2024, 6:32:17 AM139 trades$135,2786 min
11/5/2024, 9:24:53 AM1 trades$100 min
11/5/2024, 9:40:03 AM92 trades$686,9826 min
11/6/2024, 2:18:45 AM1 trades$50 min
11/10/2024, 6:50:49 AM1 trades$1000 min
11/10/2024, 9:46:52 PM1 trades$1110 min
11/11/2024, 2:52:54 PM1 trades$1410 min
11/11/2024, 3:43:30 PM1 trades$1410 min
11/11/2024, 10:53:13 PM1 trades$1540 min
11/13/2024, 2:31:22 PM1 trades$1910 min
11/14/2024, 4:38:23 AM4 trades$1910 min
11/15/2024, 6:23:27 PM1 trades$1920 min
11/15/2024, 8:19:44 PM7 trades$69,4514 min
11/15/2024, 9:13:02 PM12 trades$76,0778 min
11/15/2024, 10:05:47 PM21 trades$37,3906 min
11/15/2024, 10:32:41 PM50 trades$134,1819 min
11/15/2024, 10:59:50 PM36 trades$111,65515 min
11/15/2024, 11:26:46 PM25 trades$35,3389 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-20
11-04
11-05
11-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 176.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.6 br/event