Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

0x5fe50c3617f3a7385aaaa076897b60ca9312dfe67252b0581a688af31b7961ca

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 8.5% · CLOB volume $545.0k · whales 24h net $22.8k (81 wallets) · 7d net $95.4k · 2/4 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

8.5%

Yes

Implied No

91.5%

Volume

$545.0k

CLOB

Traders

780

4,785 trades

Yes 8.5%No 91.5%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$22.8k

Buy

$42.2k

Sell

$19.4k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$95.4k

Buy

$178.5k

Sell

$83.2k

Whales

233

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($22.8k)
•7d whale net still positive ($95.4k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 8.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

YESBUY2026-07-20 16:43:16

9.0¢$18

NOBUY2026-07-20 16:43:16

1111.1¢$35

NOBUY2026-07-20 16:43:16

91.0¢$150

NOBUY2026-07-20 15:12:52

1371.7¢$910

YESBUY2026-07-20 15:12:52

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x993c…6787	368	$62.0k	$-25.3k	1
0xc8ab…6418	146	$55.5k	$-51.6k	3
0x68c2…1711	79	$45.5k	$-2.3k	1
0x8647…74a9	76	$39.9k

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