@ArmageddonRewardsBilly
#3,131,228820xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
61% (22540/36850)15.6/20
1.55x (win $13,480,616 / loss $8,710,638)9.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.26515/15
Sortino 2.40510/10
$+0.9312 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 22 (36850 markets)10/10
256/500 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 38% of peak ($1,627,555 / $4,257,384)6.4/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 61%
Diamond Hands
1% sells
DCA Master
Avg 31.2 entries/market
Whale
$5,122,267 invested
High Roller
$8,682/day
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,679$28,400Vol: $272,596,722
📈 ECONOMICS#4$500,145Vol: $70,440,308
💰 FINANCE#668,209$-438,523Vol: $62,708,311
₿ CRYPTO#283$120,040Vol: $35,700,646
⚽ SPORTS#1,907,626$-104,132Vol: $32,613,043
🎭 CULTURE#828,533$-36,704Vol: $22,924,684
💻 TECH#270,392$-45,715Vol: $7,200,131
🌤️ WEATHER#307,101$-40,216Vol: $5,829,031
📢 MENTIONS#180,516$-28,889Vol: $4,922,139
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-42,886
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$517,944,945
Total Redeem
$15,800,047
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
10206
total markets
Trades
17082B / 8712S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~590d
Periods
#2Today
$4,202
Vol: $60,814
Week
$46,845
Vol: $984,342
Month
$-40,322
Vol: $2,553,002
All Time
$-42,886
Vol: $517,944,945
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
61%
22537W / 14309L events
Realized PnL
$-42,995
Win Rate
61%
22537W / 14309L
Profit Factor
1.55x
Avg Win
$598
Avg Loss
$-637
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,645,997 (61.542460980610386% of PnL)
Top Winners
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,143,234
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$942,680
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$560,083
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$474,050
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$263,249
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$250,317
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$250,115
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$219,626
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$212,114
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$173,947
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-1,306,422
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-197,291
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-187,284
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-164,756
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-154,801
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-151,873
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-150,059
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-142,587
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-138,547
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$-126,435
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.066
Sortino
0.089
HHI
55354
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
86.6%
Top-5 markets
363.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2152.9
Very active
Markets / Day
17.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.9m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 1028s — normal for humanCV 6.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2153 trades/day — automation17 markets/day — mass coverage2% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
31.18
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)22.6%
Mid (20-55c)12.3%
High (>55c)65%
Sessions
#126/10/2026, 8:26:24 AM4 trades$146,2315 min
6/3/2026, 9:20:13 AM1 trades$99,8000 min
5/21/2026, 3:48:07 PM1 trades$97,4030 min
3/4/2026, 10:08:17 PM5 trades$84,3802 min
2/2/2026, 9:45:26 PM2 trades$80,8282 min
5/26/2026, 4:49:33 AM3 trades$80,0944 min
2/28/2026, 7:52:15 AM5 trades$54,4213 min
5/30/2026, 12:10:25 AM1 trades$49,8000 min
6/17/2026, 1:47:10 PM1 trades$48,7730 min
7/22/2026, 3:50:00 PM1 trades$45,7600 min
2/28/2026, 7:07:27 AM9 trades$41,92612 min
6/10/2026, 6:41:43 AM8 trades$40,5520 min
4/30/2026, 7:52:36 PM4 trades$39,9027 min
2/7/2026, 6:27:41 PM5 trades$38,38310 min
1/18/2026, 4:46:00 AM1 trades$31,6220 min
4/2/2026, 12:22:45 AM4 trades$30,7615 min
4/14/2026, 1:01:27 AM7 trades$30,0393 min
4/8/2026, 12:10:43 AM2 trades$29,9214 min
5/7/2026, 2:06:01 PM16 trades$29,3220 min
6/14/2026, 9:17:04 PM29 trades$28,7876 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2025-10-30 00:00:00
2026-02-25 00:00:00
2026-04-07 23:55:00
2026-05-12 21:00:00
2026-06-17 00:00:00
2026-07-16 03:59:00
2027-06-30 23:59:00
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 31.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.6 / M12.3 / H65