Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?

0xa222013f2baf3e9eb0613b7dc45d2fd8a3e63177c21bd282d9bb5133d6a44986

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 12.0% · CLOB volume $636.5k · whales 24h net $835 (5 wallets) · 7d net $29.4k · 3/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

12.0%

Yes

Implied No

88.0%

Volume

$636.5k

CLOB

Traders

660

5,205 trades

Yes 12.0%No 88.0%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$835

Buy

$1.3k

Sell

$421

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$29.4k

Buy

$43.5k

Sell

$14.1k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($835)
•7d whale net still positive ($29.4k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 12.0% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

YESBUY2026-07-21 16:57:12

13.0¢$100

NOBUY2026-07-21 16:57:12

769.2¢$769

NOBUY2026-07-21 14:37:01

114.9¢$15

NOBUY2026-07-21 14:37:01

87.0¢$13

YESBUY2026-07-20 22:53:00

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x69c5…1e01	341	$252.8k	$166.0k	2
0x7bc1…8db4	74	$142.7k	$-16.0k	3
0xb100…6461	209	$109.3k	$-73.8k	4
0x9d84…1344	101	$103.8k

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