Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

0xbc0079f0872035a9eccf8920c3ceb807750685c25a5f5dcd8a8a235a34cd7bb0

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 5.5% · CLOB volume $825.5k · whales 24h net $49.2k (59 wallets) · 7d net $106.0k · 3/6 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

5.5%

Yes

Implied No

94.5%

Volume

$825.5k

CLOB

Traders

369

2,224 trades

Yes 5.5%No 94.5%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$49.2k

Buy

$55.3k

Sell

$6.1k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$106.0k

Buy

$145.3k

Sell

$39.4k

Whales

105

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($49.2k)
•7d whale net still positive ($106.0k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 5.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-21 14:41:48

106.4¢$9

NOBUY2026-07-21 14:41:48

1666.7¢$9

NOBUY2026-07-21 14:02:31

2000.0¢$25

NOBUY2026-07-21 14:02:31

105.3¢$25

NOBUY2026-07-21 12:57:58

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x69c5…1e01	341	$252.8k	$166.0k	2
0x7bc1…8db4	73	$142.6k	$-16.0k	3
0xb100…6461	209	$109.3k	$-73.8k	4
0x9d84…1344	101	$103.8k

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