Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?

0xb94e0511e6f6e8f02843b71c5d8e0eb381fd070171688a70433e502daafc1d35

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.4% · CLOB volume $3.2k · whales 24h net $196 (5 wallets) · 7d net $802 · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.4%

Yes

Implied No

99.6%

Volume

$3.2k

CLOB

Traders

362 trades

Yes 0.4%No 99.6%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$196

Buy

$295

Sell

$100

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$802

Buy

$981

Sell

$179

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($196)
•7d whale net still positive ($802)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.4% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($3.2k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

—BUY2026-07-31 03:06:23

0.7¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-31 03:06:23

14285.7¢$100

NOBUY2026-07-30 20:03:05

99.9¢$30

—BUY2026-07-30 20:03:05

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-30 20:03:03

99.9¢

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xf72c…f818	95	$6.5k	$-1.0k	5
0xdcee…bda5	142	$6.5k	$-895	2
0x8469…dab0	246	$5.3k	$-97	2
0xe298…784e	56	$2.7k	$-873

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