Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?

0xc4aaf626324e7fb7c855e5190336de1ecae44fcb77a3e13a962cff0420478827

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 42.5% · CLOB volume $18.0k · whales 24h net $952 (40 wallets) · 7d net $1.0k · 5/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

42.5%

Yes

Implied No

57.5%

Volume

$18.0k

CLOB

Traders

217

821 trades

Yes 42.5%No 57.5%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$952

Buy

$6.7k

Sell

$5.7k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$1.0k

Buy

$6.8k

Sell

$5.7k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($952)
•7d whale net still positive ($1.0k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 42.5% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($18.0k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-21 05:41:16

256.4¢$10

YESBUY2026-07-21 05:41:16

39.0¢$2

NOBUY2026-07-21 05:41:16

163.9¢$5

NOBUY2026-07-21 04:05:43

55.0¢$8

NOBUY2026-07-21 04:05:43

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xb1ca…1705	49	$6.3k	$3.1k	1
0xb8ad…ff58	69	$2.9k	$1.4k	4
0xbd14…76b4	29	$1.4k	$-944	2
0xc8ab…6418	11	$1.1k

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