@trrrre

#1,907,41510

0xb5ef89901ee3d2bacf144afef8cbf912e6d90bf4

~16d· 48 markets · 151 tradesVol: $11,2592026-08-01 23:14:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (10/33)0.2/20
0.34x (win $4 / loss $11)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.4310/15
Sortino -5.4020/10
$-0.0011 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 978 (33 markets)7.6/10
6/15 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($11 / $0)0/10

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,070,429$-3Vol: $3,401
🎭 CULTURE#548,575$-1Vol: $3,385
📈 ECONOMICS#504,411$-2Vol: $3,084
CRYPTO#1,061,796$-6Vol: $569
💰 FINANCE#404,274$-0Vol: $498
SPORTS#711,108$-0Vol: $237
💻 TECH#154,104$-0Vol: $66
🌤️ WEATHER#155,024$-0Vol: $18

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-12
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,259
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
74B / 77S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $433
Week
$-1
Vol: $433
Month
$-1
Vol: $433
All Time
$-12
Vol: $11,259

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized cash_basis_v3 — may differ from Polymarket UI on open books. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
10W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-12
Win Rate
30%
10W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.34x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.19086460032626426% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?$1
Will Rae Huang win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$1
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$0
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?$0
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0
Trump out as President by May 31?$0
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 6?$0

Top Losers

Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October?$-6
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-1
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-1
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?$-1
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-1
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?$-1
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?$-0
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$-0
USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?$-0
Will Switzerland win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.275
Sortino
-0.220
HHI
410
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.5%
Top-5 markets
40.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
34s
between trades
Avg Gap
19.6m
between trades
Night Trading
43%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 34s — normal for humanCV 1.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)43% night trades — never sleeps12/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.61
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.1%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)95.9%

Sessions

#12
3/4/2026, 3:42:39 AM9 trades$3,6075 min
2/20/2026, 1:48:46 AM3 trades$1,3331 min
3/4/2026, 3:31:27 AM3 trades$1,0350 min
3/4/2026, 3:57:47 AM2 trades$8590 min
2/20/2026, 1:59:52 AM4 trades$8083 min
2/20/2026, 1:29:24 AM3 trades$7851 min
7/9/2026, 8:57:50 AM16 trades$4041 min
5/26/2026, 2:33:22 AM9 trades$3501 min
7/9/2026, 9:39:10 AM5 trades$3064 min
5/26/2026, 2:10:57 AM8 trades$3012 min
8/1/2026, 6:10:38 AM17 trades$2844 min
7/9/2026, 8:15:11 AM6 trades$2301 min
1/15/2026, 3:43:28 PM5 trades$1921 min
1/9/2026, 5:10:42 AM7 trades$1754 min
8/1/2026, 5:46:18 AM8 trades$1581 min
5/25/2026, 3:36:39 PM2 trades$1430 min
5/25/2026, 4:00:33 PM2 trades$1430 min
8/1/2026, 6:42:08 AM8 trades$1171 min
1/15/2026, 3:32:18 PM3 trades$962 min
1/15/2026, 3:53:06 PM2 trades$961 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-12
01-09
02-20
03-06
04-01
05-25
06-16
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.1 / M0 / H95.9