ferenc89

@ferenc89

#1,93278

0x69adf268789f93b2c4da978870af74ae945f31e6

~71d· 117 markets · 25528 tradesVol: $13,236,090 @marv0lo2026-08-01 23:13:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (70/112)16.2/20
1.67x (win $442,293 / loss $265,493)10.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.99015/15
Sortino 4.91510/10
$+0.0575 per $1 invested2.9/10
HHI 243 (112 markets)10/10
37/58 profitable days (64%)8.4/10
Max DD 49% of peak ($102,045 / $209,209)4.2/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+99,904
DCA Master
Avg 226.5 entries/market
Whale
$3,074,942 invested
Consistent
37/58 profitable days
High Roller
$20,230/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders

Categories

5
SPORTS#855$95,896Vol: $12,638,940
💰 FINANCE#1,635$3,098Vol: $271,362
🎭 CULTURE#5,805$813Vol: $183,357
🏛️ POLITICS#31,328$385Vol: $77,538
CRYPTO#1,557,789$-287Vol: $64,893

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$99,904
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,236,090
Total Redeem
$6,348
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
117
total markets
Trades
16636B / 8892S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~71d

Periods

#2
Today
$-37
Vol: $2,468
Week
$1,016
Vol: $153,533
Month
$-37
Vol: $2,468
All Time
$99,904
Vol: $13,236,090

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized cash_basis_v3 — may differ from Polymarket UI on open books. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
70W / 42L events
Realized PnL
$99,904
Win Rate
63%
70W / 42L
Profit Factor
1.67x
Avg Win
$6,318
Avg Loss
$-6,475

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $179,506 (1.796778230645366% of PnL)

Top Winners

Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals$66,375
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians$63,926
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings$49,204
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru$28,917
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals$18,998
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indians$18,789
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings$16,378
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$14,834
Will New Zealand win?$13,141
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders$11,039

Top Losers

Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad$-58,639
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals$-50,666
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-25,206
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians$-17,750
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders$-17,176
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-13,753
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants$-11,904
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka$-9,496
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad$-7,355
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?$-5,822

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.155
Sortino
0.180
HHI
233
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.058
Kelly %
18.4%
Half-Kelly
9.2%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
20%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
167.9
Very active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.2m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
39 min
Avg Trades / Session
242.5

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
53% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 2.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock168 trades/day — automation0.8 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
226.46
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7%
Mid (20-55c)15.8%
High (>55c)77.3%

Sessions

#12
5/14/2026, 5:12:28 PM562 trades$170,88337 min
4/25/2026, 12:55:14 PM304 trades$120,48343 min
4/28/2026, 3:49:26 PM588 trades$111,80590 min
5/16/2026, 10:08:22 PM449 trades$105,61452 min
5/13/2026, 5:53:18 PM327 trades$93,68738 min
4/25/2026, 4:11:02 PM516 trades$93,671104 min
4/26/2026, 4:38:00 PM580 trades$91,08086 min
4/12/2026, 9:10:51 PM542 trades$80,39099 min
5/6/2026, 2:01:24 PM352 trades$74,83952 min
5/11/2026, 4:37:51 PM486 trades$74,05875 min
5/17/2026, 5:17:33 PM386 trades$73,78444 min
4/29/2026, 5:03:32 PM510 trades$73,68757 min
5/14/2026, 4:03:20 PM506 trades$62,41461 min
5/2/2026, 4:11:40 PM206 trades$61,21225 min
5/13/2026, 4:30:58 PM326 trades$61,10462 min
6/12/2026, 6:56:49 PM158 trades$58,43745 min
5/10/2026, 5:46:15 PM238 trades$55,76425 min
4/30/2026, 2:21:54 PM227 trades$54,30736 min
5/12/2026, 4:31:02 PM209 trades$53,40731 min
4/25/2026, 1:43:22 PM147 trades$49,95126 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-03
04-04
04-30
05-10
06-01
06-18
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 226.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7 / M15.8 / H77.3