@rooivalk

#30,97576

0x9bcada74fbcaa331afecdf7e861fbc9532ecca1f

~123d· 65 markets · 7597 tradesVol: $7,535,9232026-08-01 23:11:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (33/60)12.5/20
2.67x (win $278,609 / loss $104,521)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.56315/15
Sortino 8.50810/10
$+0.0343 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 770 (60 markets)8.6/10
23/41 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 36% of peak ($63,076 / $174,089)6.8/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+3,895
DCA Master
Avg 117.5 entries/market
Whale
$5,082,016 invested
High Roller
$7,463/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
94% maker orders

Categories

6
📈 ECONOMICS#116$59,136Vol: $6,061,641
🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,003$-50,734Vol: $1,040,591
🎭 CULTURE#1,282$6,234Vol: $156,504
₿ CRYPTO#1,665,463$-5,960Vol: $152,470
⚽ SPORTS#1,866,692$-3,801Vol: $114,698
💰 FINANCE#652,625$-981Vol: $10,020

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,895
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,535,923
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
65
total markets
Trades
6783B / 814S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~123d

Periods

#2
Today
$-75
Vol: $0
Week
$-23,677
Vol: $289,999
Month
$-75
Vol: $0
All Time
$3,895
Vol: $7,535,923

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized cash_basis_v3 — may differ from Polymarket UI on open books. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
33W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$3,895
Win Rate
55%
33W / 27L
Profit Factor
2.67x
Avg Win
$8,443
Avg Loss
$-3,871

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $190,754 (48.97191657381687% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$122,749
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$42,428
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$25,577
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$13,962
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$9,299
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$9,274
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$7,611
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$7,307
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?$6,047
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?$5,413

Top Losers

Government shutdown on Saturday?$-56,530
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-17,749
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-13,121
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$-4,167
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-1,620
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-1,463
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$-1,410
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 6?$-1,115
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-982
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-939

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.184
Sortino
0.313
HHI
760
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.6%
Top-5 markets
54%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
15.7m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
16 min
Avg Trades / Session
55.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 26s — normal for humanCV 7.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active0.1 markets/day — normal94% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
117.55
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.1%
Mid (20-55c)9.4%
High (>55c)88.5%

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 5:08:04 AM1 trades$238,8280 min
1/27/2026, 12:26:05 PM2 trades$161,4190 min
11/29/2025, 6:40:53 AM1 trades$149,9620 min
10/29/2025, 10:35:09 AM1 trades$142,0550 min
2/13/2026, 5:16:19 AM16 trades$111,3135 min
1/28/2026, 5:38:22 PM2 trades$108,1003 min
11/5/2025, 2:47:19 AM1 trades$104,5770 min
11/5/2025, 2:37:01 AM6 trades$104,5770 min
2/20/2026, 6:13:08 AM2 trades$104,3852 min
4/27/2026, 7:27:00 AM2 trades$100,0000 min
11/24/2025, 3:59:01 PM1 trades$100,0000 min
2/12/2026, 6:48:49 AM1 trades$99,8150 min
7/14/2026, 12:32:13 PM75 trades$93,34715 min
1/13/2026, 4:19:31 PM18 trades$93,19913 min
9/18/2024, 4:05:29 AM14 trades$92,48824 min
4/5/2026, 12:17:43 AM26 trades$92,3110 min
2/11/2026, 7:16:05 AM4 trades$89,3892 min
9/11/2025, 3:16:59 AM5 trades$86,1164 min
10/29/2025, 5:55:47 PM12 trades$76,0151 min
7/14/2026, 9:49:11 AM72 trades$75,69928 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-18
11-12
01-27
02-03
02-19
03-18
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 117.55/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.1 / M9.4 / H88.5