Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31?

0x42e3c646192b653e82c62967396def5affbbe8e97f136328372783deb18f5cd8

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 8.3% · CLOB volume $48.5k · whales 24h net $22.4k (69 wallets) · 7d net $22.8k · 2/8 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

8.3%

Yes

Implied No

91.7%

Volume

$48.5k

CLOB

Traders

149

557 trades

Yes 8.3%No 91.7%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$22.4k

Buy

$43.7k

Sell

$21.4k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$22.8k

Buy

$44.4k

Sell

$21.6k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($22.4k)
•7d whale net still positive ($22.8k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 8.3% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($48.5k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-31 10:51:23

90.0¢$152

NOBUY2026-07-31 10:51:23

111.1¢$86

NOBUY2026-07-31 10:51:23

111.1¢$84

YESBUY2026-07-31 10:11:45

13.9¢$2

NOBUY2026-07-31 10:11:45

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xbaa2…2c73	68	$29.8k	$-16.4k	2
0x85a8…9281	25	$25.6k	$4.7k	2
0x187f…5fee	43	$10.5k	$-9.8k	2
0xb4f2…e5fa	27	$9.6k

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