Polydata

@greengasper

#4,24481

0xfb328b94ed05115259bbc48ba8182df1416edb85

~556d· 847 markets · 9398 tradesVol: $2,865,2252026-07-31 11:03:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (437/833)11.2/20
2.17x (win $137,120 / loss $63,110)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.56815/15
Sortino 12.63710/10
$+0.0780 per $1 invested3.9/10
HHI 71 (833 markets)10/10
113/208 profitable days (54%)6.1/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($7,880 / $73,838)10/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+40,681
DCA Master
Avg 11.1 entries/market
Whale
$948,978 invested
High Roller
$1,494/day
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,441$33,093Vol: $2,304,146
🎭 CULTURE#949$8,638Vol: $445,430
CRYPTO#1,608,157$-840Vol: $66,917
SPORTS#114,056$113Vol: $35,204
💻 TECH#236,541$-24Vol: $5,808
📈 ECONOMICS#669,383$-251Vol: $4,224
💰 FINANCE#73,534$5Vol: $1,865
📢 MENTIONS#152,756$-40Vol: $815
🌤️ WEATHER#20,952$12Vol: $367

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$40,681
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,865,225
Total Redeem
$54,141
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
847
total markets
Trades
4537B / 4861S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~556d

Periods

#2
Today
$-103
Vol: $952
Week
$1,560
Vol: $30,140
Month
$-459
Vol: $104,725
All Time
$40,681
Vol: $2,865,225

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
52%
437W / 396L events
Realized PnL
$40,681
Win Rate
52%
437W / 396L
Profit Factor
2.17x
Avg Win
$314
Avg Loss
$-161

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,965 (0.5153587955139038% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$9,177
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7,136
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4,652
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?$3,076
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026?$3,067
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?$2,966
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$2,802
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$2,772
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?$2,484
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?$2,245

Top Losers

Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?$-7,699
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?$-4,851
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-2,593
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-2,560
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?$-2,273
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?$-2,090
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?$-2,044
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-1,968
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$-1,675
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$-1,667

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.238
Sortino
0.476
HHI
63
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.079
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
10.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 984s — normal for humanCV 1.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active1.3 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.07
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.3%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)54.4%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 9:59:40 PM30 trades$12,2256 min
6/17/2026, 9:24:52 PM48 trades$9,6294 min
6/24/2025, 2:02:03 AM5 trades$8,7218 min
6/21/2026, 9:15:41 AM1 trades$8,3360 min
6/14/2026, 10:53:12 PM4 trades$8,1945 min
6/17/2026, 10:31:04 PM46 trades$8,0965 min
6/21/2026, 4:11:19 AM5 trades$7,9390 min
3/2/2026, 12:40:53 AM9 trades$7,0816 min
4/7/2026, 6:04:23 PM32 trades$6,8601 min
4/15/2026, 6:07:54 PM42 trades$6,5675 min
4/4/2026, 3:23:27 PM28 trades$6,4244 min
2/26/2026, 3:10:00 PM12 trades$5,99312 min
3/2/2026, 12:26:07 PM1 trades$5,6020 min
6/18/2026, 8:28:08 AM19 trades$5,5431 min
6/21/2025, 6:04:36 PM10 trades$5,5435 min
1/18/2025, 12:29:57 AM1 trades$5,5130 min
4/9/2026, 6:52:41 AM40 trades$5,4415 min
3/1/2026, 9:53:31 PM10 trades$5,42910 min
4/2/2026, 10:33:41 AM23 trades$5,3499 min
11/22/2025, 1:39:43 PM9 trades$5,27311 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2024-11-04 12:00:00
2025-01-08 12:00:00
2025-05-31 12:00:00
2025-09-15 00:00:00
2025-12-15 00:00:00
2026-04-30 23:55:00
2026-07-28 06:30:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.07/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.3 / M33.3 / H54.4