Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?

0x6d0b91e83aaf455faf2c08b91df859e04e7f67e42dacaaa4f27167f78da3ef0d

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 20.3% · CLOB volume $22.4k · whales 24h net $2.9k (30 wallets) · 7d net $11.0k · 1/20 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

20.3%

Yes

Implied No

79.7%

Volume

$22.4k

CLOB

Traders

159

791 trades

Yes 20.3%No 79.7%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$2.9k

Buy

$3.6k

Sell

$740

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$11.0k

Buy

$17.9k

Sell

$6.9k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($2.9k)
•7d whale net still positive ($11.0k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 20.3% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($22.4k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

YESBUY2026-07-21 09:07:13

28.3¢$13

NOBUY2026-07-21 09:07:13

350.9¢$15

NOBUY2026-07-21 09:07:13

71.7¢$14

NOBUY2026-07-21 09:07:13

71.8¢$7

NOBUY2026-07-21 07:51:24

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xc97b…47e5	9,897	$178.3k	$-89.0k	11
0xc8ab…6418	778	$80.1k	$-26.8k	18
0x9f66…3a50	773	$67.2k	$-9.0k	17
0xc126…832c	4	$42.6k

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