Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

0x01f2c56394e8d4fd8f29ac99cbb3247cc9864a0a131ea420156ae2f658534cf2

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $423.6k · whales 24h net $23.8k (12 wallets) · 7d net $55.6k · 27/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

99.8%

Volume

$423.6k

CLOB

Traders

356

5,605 trades

Yes 0.1%No 99.8%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$23.8k

Buy

$23.8k

Sell

$22

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$55.6k

Buy

$55.7k

Sell

$73

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($23.8k)
•7d whale net still positive ($55.6k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-21 06:31:45

99.9¢$2

—BUY2026-07-21 06:31:45

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-21 06:23:39

100.2¢$2

NOBUY2026-07-21 06:23:39

50000.0¢$2

NOBUY2026-07-21 06:01:54

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x511f…cbe1	3,108	$983.1k	$-842.1k	26
0xb687…aee5	9,590	$770.0k	$-705.5k	26
0xb0c8…fe7f	13,022	$683.5k	$-602.0k	26
0xd5b5…3364	371	$660.0k

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