0x12dc2b61723b2a54fc1947a307389b5f32038e7a29a0e936ad1fe410b969d06a
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” trades at 58% YES on Polymarket with $4.37M total volume.
Bullish lean
Implied Yes 58.3% · CLOB volume $4.37M · whales 24h net $11.9k (59 wallets) · 7d net $142.9k · 10/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
58.3%
Yes
Implied No
41.7%
No
Volume
$4.37M
CLOB
Traders
5,681
78,860 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
55.4% → 58.4% (+3.0pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$11.9k
Buy
$20.6k
Sell
$8.8k
Whales
59
Last 7 days
Net flow
$142.9k
Buy
$275.2k
Sell
$132.3k
Whales
276
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x44a1…bd21 | $169.0k | $168.3k | $639 | $-167.7k |
| 0xeb34…7268 | $115.1k | $94.7k | $20.3k | $-74.4k |
| 0x792f…328a | $88.7k | $52.8k | $35.9k | $-16.9k |
| 0xdc76…7842 | $70.6k | $52.7k | $17.9k | $-34.8k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xeb34…7268 | 7,065 | $1.12M | $-1.04M | 13 |
| 0xa579…aad0 | 5,108 | $734.3k | $-398.9k | 9 |
| 0x454c…bd22 | 3,698 | $417.3k | $-392.9k | 6 |
| 0x13fa…954c | 7,237 | $408.8k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 31 total · Event board
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $4.37M
58.3%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.54M
22.1%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.46M
7.6%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.88M
5.3%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.03M
4.5%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $1.73M
1.8%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.49M
0.9%
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $1.34M
0.5%
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $1.88M
0.4%
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $1.96M
0.1%
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.35M
0.1%
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.10M
0.1%
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.07M
0.1%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $910.7k
0.1%
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $854.1k
0.1%
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $742.2k
0.1%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $711.2k
0.1%
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $492.0k
0.1%
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $441.7k
0.1%
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.06M
0.0%
| 0x9936…2c48 | $62.0k | $34.6k | $27.5k | $-7.1k |
| 0xfaeb…e98e | $59.9k | $20.2k | $39.7k | $19.6k |
| 0x934a…a684 | $55.5k | $32.3k | $23.2k | $-9.1k |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | $51.4k | $29.1k | $22.3k | $-6.8k |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | $50.2k | $50.2k | $0 | $-50.2k |
| 0xe907…cff6 | $50.0k | $25.3k | $24.6k | $-699 |
| 0xc452…7234 | $49.1k | $31.3k | $17.9k | $-13.4k |
| 0x3814…17bc | $42.4k | $22.3k | $20.1k | $-2.2k |
| $-353.5k |
| 14 |
| 0x44a1…bd21 | 2,344 | $335.1k | $-332.8k | 8 |
| 0xd5b5…3364 | 961 | $324.6k | $-321.2k | 9 |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | 18,819 | $317.4k | $102.9k | 8 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 2,773 | $263.4k | $-263.4k | 11 |
| 0xc3cd…816c | 2,326 | $260.1k | $-224.9k | 14 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 2,537 | $234.5k | $-142.7k | 14 |
