0x87091dc5932f015d80c40e71e47cb043c3f8b6098484eb5bc3943cf35ee9afc1
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” trades at 8% YES on Polymarket with $2.46M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 7.6% · CLOB volume $2.46M · whales 24h net $7.2k (47 wallets) · 7d net $115.0k · 10/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
7.6%
Yes
Implied No
92.3%
No
Volume
$2.46M
CLOB
Traders
3,225
38,900 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
7.5% → 7.7% (+0.2pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$7.2k
Buy
$11.9k
Sell
$4.8k
Whales
47
Last 7 days
Net flow
$115.0k
Buy
$215.6k
Sell
$100.6k
Whales
227
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xeb34…7268 | $96.1k | $93.5k | $2.6k | $-90.9k |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | $49.1k | $8.8k | $40.2k | $31.4k |
| 0x3eae…e2ed | $48.3k | $46.0k | $2.3k | $-43.7k |
| 0xfaeb…e98e | $43.8k | $3.6k | $40.2k | $36.6k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xeb34…7268 | 7,065 | $1.12M | $-1.04M | 13 |
| 0xa579…aad0 | 5,108 | $734.3k | $-398.9k | 9 |
| 0x454c…bd22 | 3,698 | $417.3k | $-392.9k | 6 |
| 0x13fa…954c | 7,237 | $408.8k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 31 total · Event board
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $4.37M
58.3%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.54M
22.1%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.46M
7.6%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.88M
5.3%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.03M
4.5%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $1.73M
1.8%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.49M
0.9%
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $1.34M
0.5%
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $1.88M
0.4%
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $1.96M
0.1%
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.35M
0.1%
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.10M
0.1%
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.07M
0.1%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $910.7k
0.1%
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $854.1k
0.1%
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $742.2k
0.1%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $711.2k
0.1%
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $492.0k
0.1%
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $441.7k
0.1%
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.06M
0.0%
| 0xd218…b5c9 | $41.1k | $8.8k | $32.2k | $23.4k |
| 0x8b01…24a9 | $34.2k | $34.2k | $0 | $-34.2k |
| 0x42fa…1fc7 | $33.4k | $16.7k | $16.7k | $0 |
| 0x25d1…9af7 | $32.2k | $32.2k | $0 | $-32.2k |
| 0xcbf4…50e1 | $31.9k | $27.1k | $4.8k | $-22.4k |
| 0x73b2…da05 | $30.7k | $15.4k | $15.3k | $-9 |
| 0x454c…bd22 | $30.6k | $21.9k | $8.7k | $-13.3k |
| 0xd5b5…3364 | $28.5k | $28.5k | $0 | $-28.5k |
| $-353.5k |
| 14 |
| 0x44a1…bd21 | 2,344 | $335.1k | $-332.8k | 8 |
| 0xd5b5…3364 | 961 | $324.6k | $-321.2k | 9 |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | 18,819 | $317.4k | $102.9k | 8 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 2,773 | $263.4k | $-263.4k | 11 |
| 0xc3cd…816c | 2,326 | $260.1k | $-224.9k | 14 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 2,537 | $234.5k | $-142.7k | 14 |
