0x7034c00a24f9edbf325fd5a0b9a63412e469fc8cd2aa9b060fb5ba8e10d7ebef
As of Sep 21, 2026, “Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?” trades at 5% YES on Polymarket with $2.88M total volume.
Mixed / balanced market
Implied Yes 5.3% · CLOB volume $2.88M · whales 24h net $11.5k (48 wallets) · 7d net $137.9k · 10/31 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.
Implied Yes
5.3%
Yes
Implied No
94.8%
No
Volume
$2.88M
CLOB
Traders
3,494
34,253 trades
Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot
Yes odds · 24h
4.7% → 5.3% (+0.6pp)
Hourly Yes-side fills · research sparkline, not a trading chart
Last 24 hours
Net flow
$11.5k
Buy
$19.0k
Sell
$7.5k
Whales
48
Last 7 days
Net flow
$137.9k
Buy
$318.4k
Sell
$180.6k
Whales
208
Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology
| Wallet | Volume | Buy | Sell | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xbc26…15f9 | $135.4k | $3.7k | $131.7k | $128.0k |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | $131.0k | $15.7k | $115.3k | $99.6k |
| 0x454c…bd22 | $118.6k | $117.5k | $1.1k | $-116.4k |
| 0xeb34…7268 | $96.7k | $93.9k | $2.9k | $-91.0k |
30d volume leaders across related markets · research only
| Address | Trades | Volume | Net flow | Markets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xeb34…7268 | 7,044 | $1.12M | $-1.04M | 13 |
| 0xa579…aad0 | 5,107 | $734.3k | $-398.9k | 9 |
| 0x454c…bd22 | 3,695 | $417.3k | $-392.8k | 6 |
| 0x13fa…954c | 7,237 | $408.8k |
Trader analytics, whale flows and Smart Score — free research. We never execute trades. API waitlist for builders.
10 open · 31 total · Event board
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $4.37M
58.3%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.54M
22.1%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.46M
7.6%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.88M
5.3%
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.03M
4.5%
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $1.73M
1.8%
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $2.49M
0.9%
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $1.34M
0.5%
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $1.88M
0.4%
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
open · $1.96M
0.1%
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.35M
0.1%
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.10M
0.1%
Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.07M
0.1%
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $910.7k
0.1%
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $854.1k
0.1%
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $742.2k
0.1%
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $711.2k
0.1%
Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $492.0k
0.1%
Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $441.7k
0.1%
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
closed · $1.06M
0.0%
| 0x4755…4158 | $68.2k | $42.5k | $25.8k | $-16.7k |
| 0x0c11…b0e6 | $41.7k | $19.4k | $22.2k | $2.8k |
| 0x63c2…afd4 | $38.8k | $38.8k | $0 | $-38.8k |
| 0x4eee…5841 | $38.4k | $38.4k | $0 | $-38.4k |
| 0x9e0c…832d | $35.7k | $30.3k | $5.4k | $-24.9k |
| 0xd5b5…3364 | $35.2k | $33.6k | $1.6k | $-32.1k |
| 0xd218…b5c9 | $31.2k | $6.8k | $24.5k | $17.7k |
| 0x13fa…954c | $31.1k | $27.2k | $3.9k | $-23.3k |
| $-353.5k |
| 14 |
| 0x44a1…bd21 | 2,344 | $335.1k | $-332.8k | 8 |
| 0xd5b5…3364 | 961 | $324.6k | $-321.2k | 9 |
| 0xcb01…7dfb | 18,798 | $316.9k | $102.4k | 8 |
| 0x21ff…0d71 | 2,773 | $263.4k | $-263.4k | 11 |
| 0xc3cd…816c | 2,326 | $260.1k | $-224.9k | 14 |
| 0xeed8…35f0 | 2,537 | $234.5k | $-142.7k | 14 |
