Will Bryce Elder lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season?

0x31f80f0e293d2565abe2480f4a29f96a8d6c63b8d52a3b722c551fefbe2bea98

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 1.2% · CLOB volume $151 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $0 · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

1.2%

Yes

Implied No

98.8%

Volume

$151

CLOB

Traders

42 trades

Yes 1.2%No 98.8%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Bull case

•Market still active / open
•Watch for whale buy acceleration vs mid

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 1.2% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($151) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

4 shown

NOBUY2026-06-19 05:56:31

9781.0¢$65

—BUY2026-06-19 05:56:31

1.0¢$0

—BUY2026-06-19 05:56:31

1.0¢$0

—BUY2026-06-19 05:56:31

1.1¢$0

MLB: ERA Leader

Single-market event

No sibling markets for this event.

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x2b3d…8db7	$66	$65	$1	$-65
0x613b…da44	$0	$0	$0	$-0
0x5146…ac5e	$0	$0	$0	$-0

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

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