Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?

0x31ff4152662e8e50faff8ad80ff5561054753b27a5a4801aa95d3b08ccd2494e

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 2.4% · CLOB volume $107.9k · whales 24h net $1.6k (11 wallets) · 7d net $2.0k · 11/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

2.4%

Yes

Implied No

97.6%

Volume

$107.9k

CLOB

Traders

334

1,282 trades

Yes 2.4%No 97.6%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$1.6k

Buy

$1.6k

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$2.0k

Buy

$2.1k

Sell

$71

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($1.6k)
•7d whale net still positive ($2.0k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 2.4% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

YESBUY2026-07-22 11:14:34

3.9¢$47

NOBUY2026-07-22 11:14:34

95.8¢$162

NOBUY2026-07-22 11:14:34

96.0¢$48

NOBUY2026-07-22 11:14:34

96.1¢$49

NOBUY2026-07-22 11:14:34

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xefac…c9a1	740	$16.3k	$-4.4k	10
0xd87d…ae50	262	$13.1k	$-4.9k	7
0xe1f1…3a05	193	$11.0k	$-10.7k	4
0x006a…9680	54	$10.9k

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