Will Vesselin Dimitrov win the 2026 Fields Medal?

0x6e90e6efe2dccfe6a4ddebd2f627cb5820b939ae5aec94906f0500881a0748a7

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 1.8% · CLOB volume $640 · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $155 · 11/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

1.8%

Yes

Implied No

98.2%

Volume

$640

CLOB

Traders

68 trades

Yes 1.8%No 98.2%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$155

Buy

$177

Sell

$22

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($155)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 1.8% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($640) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

68 shown

NOBUY2026-07-19 06:17:24

94.7¢$27

YESBUY2026-07-19 06:17:24

3.8¢$0

YESBUY2026-07-19 06:17:24

5.3¢$1

YESBUY2026-07-19 06:17:24

5.4¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-19 04:56:06

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xefac…c9a1	740	$16.3k	$-4.4k	10
0xd87d…ae50	262	$13.1k	$-4.9k	7
0xe1f1…3a05	200	$11.3k	$-11.0k	4
0x006a…9680	54	$10.9k

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows, Smart Score and live screens — free to explore. Alpha API for automation.

Explore traders View plans