Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal?

0xc8fd0988416e7299aaf762cf3c6c7a83e5c0ef4093e927ee48b1a85fe8062942

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.7% · CLOB volume $4.1k · whales 24h net $881 (13 wallets) · 7d net $1.4k · 11/11 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.7%

Yes

Implied No

99.3%

Volume

$4.1k

CLOB

Traders

219 trades

Yes 0.7%No 99.3%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$881

Buy

$908

Sell

$27

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$1.4k

Buy

$1.4k

Sell

$36

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($881)
•7d whale net still positive ($1.4k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.7% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($4.1k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-22 02:25:25

50000.0¢$50

—BUY2026-07-22 02:25:25

0.2¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-22 00:55:04

100000.0¢$50

—BUY2026-07-22 00:55:04

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-22 00:51:27

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xefac…c9a1	740	$16.3k	$-4.4k	10
0xd87d…ae50	262	$13.1k	$-4.9k	7
0xe1f1…3a05	200	$11.3k	$-11.0k	4
0x006a…9680	54	$10.9k

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