Will Andrew Pemberton win the Clacton by-election?

0x3319ac039af52ef294c55fe4a7abf9cddb89cf4a2a29a0c1de92c30e76856082

Bearish lean

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $5.7k · whales 24h net $0 (0 wallets) · 7d net $698 · 2/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$5.7k

CLOB

Traders

33 trades

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$698

Buy

$2.1k

Sell

$1.4k

Whales

Bull case

•7d whale net still positive ($698)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($5.7k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

33 shown

NOBUY2026-07-20 17:49:54

100000.0¢$121

—BUY2026-07-20 17:49:54

0.1¢$0

NOBUY2026-07-20 17:49:54

100.1¢$96

NOBUY2026-07-20 13:59:00

99.9¢$20

NOBUY2026-07-20 13:59:00

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x77fb…266c	324	$301.4k	$-190.0k	2
0x22e4…ef1c	100	$214.3k	$-98.6k	2
0xfb51…742d	132	$209.8k	$-72.3k	2
0xc6dd…4b9f	94	$122.1k

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows, Smart Score and live screens — free to explore. Alpha API for automation.

Explore traders View plans