Will Jovan Owusu-Nepaul win the Clacton by-election?

0x6c443184ee174f464b18a8945e61a7aa946059b7f00011c5bac00d039da2bd25

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.1% · CLOB volume $3.8k · whales 24h net $267 (2 wallets) · 7d net $813 · 2/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.1%

Yes

Implied No

100.0%

Volume

$3.8k

CLOB

Traders

63 trades

Yes 0.1%No 100.0%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$267

Buy

$533

Sell

$267

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$813

Buy

$1.6k

Sell

$804

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($267)
•7d whale net still positive ($813)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.1% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($3.8k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

63 shown

NOBUY2026-07-21 09:58:33

100.1¢$267

NOBUY2026-07-21 09:58:33

100000.0¢$267

NOBUY2026-07-17 14:10:01

100.1¢$100

NOBUY2026-07-17 14:10:01

100000.0¢$100

NOBUY2026-07-17 14:02:33

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x77fb…266c	324	$301.4k	$-190.0k	2
0x22e4…ef1c	100	$214.3k	$-98.6k	2
0xfb51…742d	132	$209.8k	$-72.3k	2
0xc6dd…4b9f	94	$122.1k

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