Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

0x95a7c8f39ccda84bf59b54c474f2a006cbc4167737630365f416670466b37ab9

Bullish lean

Implied Yes 95.2% · CLOB volume $989.4k · whales 24h net $3.0k (71 wallets) · 7d net $187.5k · 2/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

95.2%

Yes

Implied No

4.8%

Volume

$989.4k

CLOB

Traders

902

5,673 trades

Yes 95.2%No 4.8%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$3.0k

Buy

$9.4k

Sell

$6.4k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$187.5k

Buy

$303.2k

Sell

$115.7k

Whales

234

Bull case

•Market prices Yes at 95.2%
•Whales net buyers 24h ($3.0k)
•7d whale net still positive ($187.5k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Watch for unwind volume on Yes or deadline risk

Recent fills

100 shown

YESBUY2026-07-21 15:55:00

4.9¢$40

NOBUY2026-07-21 15:55:00

95.1¢$58

NOBUY2026-07-21 15:55:00

95.1¢$239

NOBUY2026-07-21 15:55:00

95.1¢$479

YESBUY2026-07-21 15:45:22

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x77fb…266c	324	$301.4k	$-190.0k	2
0x22e4…ef1c	100	$214.3k	$-98.6k	2
0xfb51…742d	132	$209.8k	$-72.3k	2
0xc6dd…4b9f	94	$122.1k

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