Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?

0x523959b6256674318eb34755789fffd8c62cd652e5fa11ffd332402361d058e9

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 2.8% · CLOB volume $379.9k · whales 24h net $1 (2 wallets) · 7d net $2.3k · 1/3 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

2.8%

Yes

Implied No

97.3%

Volume

$379.9k

CLOB

Traders

782

3,551 trades

Yes 2.8%No 97.3%

Live mid price · Polymarket snapshot

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

Buy

Sell

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$2.3k

Buy

$6.7k

Sell

$4.4k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($1)
•7d whale net still positive ($2.3k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 2.8% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-08-01 06:13:51

4347.8¢$1

NOBUY2026-08-01 06:13:51

102.4¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-31 21:02:48

103.1¢$133

NOBUY2026-07-31 21:02:48

96.8¢$32

NOBUY2026-07-31 21:02:48

Largest participants (this market)

Ranked by 30d traded volume — analytics proxy, not a share inventory. Methodology

Wallet	Volume	Buy	Sell	Net
0x67df…9434	$15.4k	$7.9k	$7.5k	$-347
0xf87c…bc0a	$8.0k	$4.1k	$3.9k	$-168
0x51be…e379	$7.6k	$3.9k	$3.7k	$-160
0x943e…32d6	$7.5k	$3.8k	$3.7k	$-159

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets · research only

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0x1de9…831d	14	$16.0k	$-30	1
0x67df…9434	44	$15.4k	$-347	1
0xc9dc…9026	101	$9.0k	$-9.0k	1
0xf87c…bc0a	24	$8.0k

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