Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?

0xab65da980c48cc067b9c27f9d39db7d3d1d1e69d6058a87c93abe0f2c38b54df

Bullish lean

Implied Yes 99.7% · CLOB volume $85.4k · whales 24h net $5.2k (30 wallets) · 7d net $20.4k · 2/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

99.7%

Yes

Implied No

0.3%

Volume

$85.4k

CLOB

Traders

352

1,697 trades

Yes 99.7%No 0.3%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$5.2k

Buy

$7.4k

Sell

$2.1k

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$20.4k

Buy

$44.6k

Sell

$24.2k

Whales

Bull case

•Market prices Yes at 99.7%
•Whales net buyers 24h ($5.2k)
•7d whale net still positive ($20.4k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Watch for unwind volume on Yes or deadline risk

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-21 08:09:49

100.5¢$8

NOBUY2026-07-21 08:09:49

20000.0¢$8

—BUY2026-07-21 07:35:52

0.5¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-21 07:35:52

20000.0¢$200

NOBUY2026-07-21 06:49:51

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xb1ca…1705	387	$29.0k	$12.7k	2
0xd12f…e85a	183	$13.2k	$-4.9k	2
0xc8ab…6418	33	$11.6k	$-11.6k	2
0x1f0a…f7aa	44	$7.8k

Dig deeper with Polydata

Trader analytics, whale flows, Smart Score and live screens — free to explore. Alpha API for automation.

Explore traders View plans