Will Nito Abreu win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?

0xfa415e531fd87e421be5cae94f32c6e03915d6e37eedbe69382089b6649dac71

Mixed / balanced market

Implied Yes 0.3% · CLOB volume $29.5k · whales 24h net $767 (9 wallets) · 7d net $7.0k · 2/5 related markets still open · recent tape leans NO.

Implied Yes

0.3%

Yes

Implied No

99.7%

Volume

$29.5k

CLOB

Traders

152

509 trades

Yes 0.3%No 99.7%

Source: markets+gamma+gamma+mv_market_daily · live CLOB mid

Whale positioning

Last 24 hours

Net flow

$767

Buy

$824

Sell

$57

Whales

Last 7 days

Net flow

$7.0k

Buy

$17.7k

Sell

$10.7k

Whales

Bull case

•Whales net buyers 24h ($767)
•7d whale net still positive ($7.0k)
•Market still active / open

Bear case

•Implied Yes only 0.3% — No favored
•Recent BUY tape leans NO token
•Thin liquidity ($29.5k) — wide moves possible

Recent fills

100 shown

NOBUY2026-07-21 08:10:43

100.4¢$6

NOBUY2026-07-21 08:10:43

25000.0¢$6

NOBUY2026-07-21 07:34:07

100.4¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-21 07:34:07

25000.0¢$1

NOBUY2026-07-21 07:29:43

Top traders (event)

30d volume leaders across related markets

All traders

Address	Trades	Volume	Net flow	Markets
0xb1ca…1705	387	$29.0k	$12.7k	2
0xd12f…e85a	183	$13.2k	$-4.9k	2
0xc8ab…6418	33	$11.6k	$-11.6k	2
0x1f0a…f7aa	44	$7.8k

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