Polydata
Dull-Universe

@Dull-Universe

#1,09593

0x1f0a343513aa6060488fabe96960e6d1e177f7aa

1678d· 2618 markets · 44198 tradesVol: $26,963,730 @archaic_on_Poly2026-07-20T06:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 94%20/20
Profit Factor 63.76x15/15
Sharpe 0.4528/15
Sortino 13.27410/10
EV $+0.95510/10
HHI 18310/10
Profit Days 93%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Dull-Universe is a highly experienced Polymarket trader ranked #1095 globally on the profit and loss leaderboard. With 44,198 trades executed over 1,369 days, they have accumulated a net PnL of $181,697.20 from a total trading volume of nearly $27 million. Their portfolio value stands at $163,491.36, supported by a strong smart score of 93 out of 100, placing them in the elite category among Polymarket participants.

The trading style of Dull-Universe is characterized by a balanced approach with a 50% sell rate and a win rate of 66.2%, indicating consistent profitability. They trade across 249 different markets, showing diversification and a preference for steady gains rather than speculative bursts. Their profit factor of 3.81 and moderate Sharpe ratio of 0.45 suggest a solid risk-adjusted return, while the zero-day max drawdown duration points to effective risk management. The semi-automated nature of their strategy, reflected in a bot score of 55, combines algorithmic precision with manual oversight.

Dull-Universe’s key strengths lie in their disciplined execution and diversified portfolio, which contribute to a stable equity trend without significant drawdowns. However, the relatively modest Sharpe ratio implies potential vulnerability to market volatility. Their avoidance of weather markets and a consistent, sniper-like precision in trade timing further enhance their edge on Polymarket, though reliance on semi-automated methods could expose them to occasional lapses if market conditions shift abruptly.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 94%
Profitable
PnL $+181,697
DCA Master
avg 89.1 entries/market
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
Whale
$1,993,896
Consistent
98/105 days
High Roller
$1,456/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#309$167,274Vol: $23,858,992
🎭 CULTURE#3,364$1,762Vol: $898,562
CRYPTO#14,005$3,202Vol: $538,216
SPORTS#47,641$689Vol: $417,112
💰 FINANCE#1,537$3,280Vol: $265,787
📈 ECONOMICS#668,350$-863Vol: $210,676
💻 TECH#1,911$610Vol: $28,883
🌤️ WEATHER#20,086$12Vol: $6,431
📢 MENTIONS#9,208$48Vol: $4,901

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$181,697
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,963,730
Total Redeem
$194
Portfolio
$163,491
Predictions
2618
total markets
Trades
22188B / 22010S
Daily Volume
$1,456
Account Age
1678d
since Dec 16, 2021

Periods

#2
Today
$162
Vol: $2,130
Week
$162
Vol: $32,725
Month
$6,153
Vol: $607,998
All Time
$181,697
Vol: $26,963,730

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
94%
254W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$152,079
Win Rate
66%
53W / 27L
Profit Factor
3.81x
Avg Win
$4,173
Avg Loss
$-2,150

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $46,514 (28.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$17,050
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?$15,428
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$14,036
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$13,169
Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election?$13,012
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherla$12,466
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$11,501
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$10,621
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10,140
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$8,976

Top Losers

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-20,128
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Friday?$-9,217
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-8,045
Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Banglad$-3,207
Will Romuald Wadagni be the next President of Benin?$-2,577
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$-2,110
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$-1,711
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliam$-1,417
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 202$-1,308
Will another outcome occur in the Bangladesh parliamentary electi$-1,112

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.452
Sortino
13.274
HHI
183
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.955
Kelly %
49.2%
Half-Kelly
24.6%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
19.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
80.6
Very active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.3m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — typical for humanSize CV 3.10 — diverse, typical for human21% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.09 — human randomness81 trades/day — mass trading423 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
89.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
31 entries
<=2
44 entries
<=5
75 entries
<=10
105 entries
<=20
128 entries
<=50
159 entries
>50
90 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.7%
Mid (20-55c)12%
High (>55c)82.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 17.1%

Other$163,104
Salman cease to$0
New York City$0
São Paulo$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
161

Single bracket

<=1
119 brackets
<=2
143 brackets
<=3
151 brackets
<=4
154 brackets
<=5
158 brackets
<=8
159 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/18/2025, 4:57:47 AM1 trades$3040 min
1/18/2025, 1:52:15 PM1 trades$320 min
1/18/2025, 3:06:41 PM1 trades$270 min
1/19/2025, 4:32:49 AM1 trades$250 min
1/19/2025, 9:13:17 AM1 trades$90 min
1/19/2025, 10:02:01 AM1 trades$670 min
1/19/2025, 10:09:37 AM5 trades$380 min
1/19/2025, 10:30:51 AM2 trades$1200 min
1/19/2025, 5:05:26 PM1 trades$3260 min
1/19/2025, 6:41:09 PM1 trades$10 min
1/19/2025, 6:56:23 PM1 trades$80 min
1/19/2025, 9:16:48 PM1 trades$790 min
1/19/2025, 10:27:08 PM3 trades$321 min
1/19/2025, 11:00:58 PM1 trades$110 min
1/20/2025, 3:06:52 AM1 trades$550 min
1/20/2025, 5:40:54 AM1 trades$50 min
1/20/2025, 6:07:44 AM1 trades$50 min
1/20/2025, 6:17:20 AM1 trades$50 min
1/20/2025, 7:01:32 AM1 trades$90 min
1/20/2025, 7:54:51 AM1 trades$90 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
10-31
06-01
11-04
03-05
08-14
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 89.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event