099play

@099play

#7,20091

0x88d693005386a305ada6d7996f3319b587a4de00

~185d· 184 markets · 5011 tradesVol: $4,211,101 @099_eth2026-08-02 08:51:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (126/181)19.8/20
4.51x (win $82,259 / loss $18,224)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.79815/15
Sortino 24.54710/10
$+0.0241 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 200 (181 markets)10/10
63/91 profitable days (69%)9.8/10
Max DD 7% of peak ($4,605 / $66,408)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 70%
Profitable
PnL $+21,901
DCA Master
Avg 27.3 entries/market
Whale
$2,659,994 invested
Consistent
63/91 profitable days
High Roller
$9,815/day
Cool Head
Max DD 7%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders

Categories

5
CRYPTO#3,526$13,240Vol: $2,042,827
🏛️ POLITICS#1,635,118$-7,157Vol: $1,166,752
💰 FINANCE#779$7,021Vol: $527,610
📈 ECONOMICS#7,411$242Vol: $121,868
SPORTS#12,175$3,682Vol: $84,540

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$21,901
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,211,101
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
184
total markets
Trades
2587B / 2424S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~185d

Periods

#2
Week
$256
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$21,901
Vol: $4,211,101

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
126W / 55L events
Realized PnL
$21,901
Win Rate
70%
126W / 55L
Profit Factor
4.51x
Avg Win
$653
Avg Loss
$-380

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18,233 (0.8325011118102097% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$10,074
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$4,227
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?$3,932
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$3,714
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?$3,614
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$3,582
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5$3,211
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?$2,498
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?$2,195
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?$2,189

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,137
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-2,222
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?$-1,368
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?$-1,074
Will XRP reach $2.80 in January?$-934
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?$-930
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$-915
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-579
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?$-571
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$-504

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.354
Sortino
0.809
HHI
244
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.024
Kelly %
16.4%
Half-Kelly
8.2%
Top-1 market
7.8%
Top-5 markets
25%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.0m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 282s — normal for humanCV 2.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active0.7 markets/day — normal78% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
27.34
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.5%
Mid (20-55c)1.6%
High (>55c)96.9%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 9:31:15 PM154 trades$89,14322 min
6/24/2026, 2:21:13 PM17 trades$60,1753 min
5/29/2026, 3:08:00 AM26 trades$56,3094 min
5/2/2026, 3:02:34 PM1 trades$54,2170 min
6/22/2026, 1:30:40 AM17 trades$52,8342 min
6/25/2026, 1:53:16 PM48 trades$49,29810 min
3/15/2026, 3:22:57 PM1 trades$45,4960 min
5/2/2026, 10:04:40 PM1 trades$43,7460 min
4/5/2026, 3:28:03 PM22 trades$40,6003 min
5/15/2026, 11:52:17 AM75 trades$40,0181 min
5/16/2026, 6:23:46 AM26 trades$36,8796 min
4/7/2026, 11:01:51 PM13 trades$35,3280 min
3/15/2026, 4:03:59 PM7 trades$34,89910 min
4/17/2026, 7:57:50 PM3 trades$34,8540 min
4/5/2026, 4:23:37 PM24 trades$34,8136 min
3/30/2026, 9:39:26 AM4 trades$33,0460 min
4/2/2026, 3:44:15 AM2 trades$30,0723 min
6/24/2026, 4:47:04 PM112 trades$29,0434 min
4/1/2026, 8:46:21 AM1 trades$27,6830 min
1/29/2026, 12:02:00 PM5 trades$27,4682 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-25
12-11
01-15
03-02
04-06
05-31
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.34/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.5 / M1.6 / H96.9