carlosleiva2107

@carlosleiva2107

#2,216,7280

0x0295944a04b50558c8679354ebfd27ce0d77a11d

~7d· 17 markets · 51 tradesVol: $16,8652026-08-02 08:03:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

12% (2/16)0/20
0.70x (win $77 / loss $110)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9100/15
Sortino -4.8970/10
$-0.1324 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7607 (16 markets)0/10
1/7 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 219% of peak ($60 / $27)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
65% entries < $0.55

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,515,489$-29Vol: $16,850
🌤️ WEATHER#209,524$-2Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-31
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,865
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
17
total markets
Trades
23B / 28S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-31
Vol: $16,865

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
13%
2W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-31
Win Rate
13%
2W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $77 (2.488102893890675% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$66
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$11

Top Losers

Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?$-10
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?$-10
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?$-10
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals$-10
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-10
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?$-10
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?$-10
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$-10
Exact Score: Uruguay 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.141
Sortino
-0.399
HHI
1736
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.135
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
33.7%
Top-5 markets
75.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
19
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1018s — normal for humanCV 1.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours10/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.4%
Mid (20-55c)47.8%
High (>55c)34.8%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 6:41:11 AM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/23/2026, 2:07:17 AM2 trades$1160 min
6/27/2026, 5:07:50 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/4/2026, 8:35:52 PM2 trades$1000 min
6/21/2026, 8:51:16 PM9 trades$677 min
6/21/2026, 4:28:07 AM2 trades$580 min
6/21/2026, 11:37:38 PM2 trades$520 min
6/26/2026, 5:54:31 PM2 trades$510 min
6/21/2026, 9:04:10 PM2 trades$410 min
6/24/2026, 2:41:17 AM2 trades$300 min
6/21/2026, 11:19:16 PM4 trades$270 min
6/26/2026, 6:00:28 PM2 trades$240 min
6/21/2026, 7:25:20 PM4 trades$232 min
6/27/2026, 11:42:05 PM2 trades$150 min
7/10/2026, 3:40:10 AM3 trades$140 min
6/24/2026, 3:19:02 AM2 trades$130 min
6/21/2026, 9:21:08 PM3 trades$100 min
6/23/2026, 5:21:04 PM2 trades$100 min
6/21/2026, 11:26:25 PM2 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-21
06-23
06-24
06-26
06-27
07-04
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 17 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L17.4 / M47.8 / H34.8