@0x03455bde18e905a8ca80049a9bae5b0252c378d2
540x03455bde18e905a8ca80049a9bae5b0252c378d2
~26d· 38 markets · 80 trades2026-08-02 06:37:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
51% (19/37)10.7/20
1.15x (win $211 / loss $183)4.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.06415/15
Sortino 1.58610/10
$+0.0294 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 1368 (37 markets)5.7/10
10/18 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 75% of peak ($76 / $101)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+25
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
Overview
#1Net PnL
$25
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$958
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
48B / 32S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
51%
19W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$25
Win Rate
51%
19W / 18L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-10
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $137 (5.451792828685258% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $56
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?$52
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$29
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?$18
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$13
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A$9
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group B$8
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$5
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading?$4
Crude Oil all time high by March 31?$4
Top Losers
XRP Up or Down - February 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$-40
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-24
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$-20
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs$-20
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-14
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$-10
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$-9
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$-5
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.054
Sortino
0.082
HHI
1238
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.030
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
31.6%
Top-5 markets
55.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 714s — normal for humanCV 0.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal1% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.08
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)33.3%
Mid (20-55c)31.2%
High (>55c)35.4%
Sessions
#1210/30/2025, 11:57:25 AM4 trades$2583 min
10/30/2025, 10:28:53 AM3 trades$1011 min
12/29/2025, 6:28:57 PM1 trades$960 min
10/30/2025, 12:40:53 PM1 trades$800 min
2/26/2026, 1:50:12 PM1 trades$750 min
3/25/2026, 6:04:41 PM2 trades$721 min
10/1/2024, 9:35:28 AM1 trades$710 min
9/28/2024, 2:12:22 PM2 trades$702 min
10/30/2025, 12:17:59 PM1 trades$700 min
10/30/2025, 11:48:15 AM1 trades$650 min
3/25/2026, 7:12:33 PM2 trades$594 min
10/30/2025, 11:12:41 AM1 trades$550 min
10/30/2025, 11:22:09 AM1 trades$550 min
3/25/2026, 2:27:21 PM2 trades$541 min
10/17/2025, 7:33:41 AM2 trades$510 min
3/26/2026, 12:18:41 PM2 trades$431 min
12/26/2025, 8:55:13 AM1 trades$410 min
2/19/2026, 12:43:30 PM1 trades$400 min
3/26/2026, 12:57:25 PM2 trades$391 min
2/26/2026, 12:39:54 PM3 trades$345 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-28
10-30
01-13
02-19
02-28
03-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 36 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.08/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L33.3 / M31.2 / H35.4