@AGUGava

#3,070,17827

0x0353aaf82abbd3e69c00059df0a825bc198fc2ff

~57d· 272 markets · 5909 tradesVol: $3,988,8152026-08-02 07:36:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (138/272)10.4/20
0.51x (win $259,984 / loss $513,734)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.0520/15
Sortino -5.0370/10
$-0.2976 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 178 (272 markets)10/10
31/56 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 1433% of peak ($272,791 / $19,041)0/10

Badges

7
Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 21.7 entries/market
Whale
$852,600 invested
High Roller
$3,112/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,881,913$-100,002Vol: $3,469,937
CRYPTO#1,671,412$-14,791Vol: $518,878

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-114,793
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,988,815
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
272
total markets
Trades
4255B / 1654S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$2,464
Vol: $40,000
Week
$7,342
Vol: $40,000
Month
$16,843
Vol: $175,910
All Time
$-114,793
Vol: $3,988,815

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
138W / 134L events
Realized PnL
$-114,793
Win Rate
51%
138W / 134L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$1,884
Avg Loss
$-3,834

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $59,939 (0.5221472671239935% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Brentford FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?$29,579
Portugal vs. Spain: Portugal O/U 1.5$18,158
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5$12,202
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2025-12-11?$11,558
Will Chelsea vs. Arsenal end in a draw?$8,940
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 5PM ET$7,958
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 11AM ET$7,850
OGC Nice vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5$6,922
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-13?$6,250
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?$6,200

Top Losers

England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$-77,790
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5$-38,204
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5$-34,882
Lightning vs. Kings: O/U 5.5$-30,323
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-01?$-20,000
Norway vs. France: O/U 4.5$-17,702
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5$-14,061
Will Leeds United FC win on 2025-12-14?$-13,500
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?$-13,333
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderi$-10,384

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.262
Sortino
-0.207
HHI
162
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.298
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.4%
Top-5 markets
21%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
23.2m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
37.8

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastCV 4.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency1.0 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.72
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.1%
Mid (20-55c)58%
High (>55c)40%

Sessions

#12
7/15/2026, 7:12:14 PM16 trades$38,9940 min
7/1/2026, 8:24:04 PM43 trades$35,8044 min
7/15/2026, 8:15:05 PM18 trades$33,6474 min
1/1/2026, 10:35:49 PM4 trades$30,3237 min
12/11/2025, 7:24:23 PM10 trades$28,5693 min
12/14/2025, 4:02:31 PM4 trades$28,5000 min
12/10/2025, 9:26:12 PM24 trades$26,3304 min
12/10/2025, 9:48:14 PM7 trades$23,7300 min
7/15/2026, 8:35:26 PM50 trades$23,6236 min
7/1/2026, 9:08:58 PM20 trades$22,8324 min
1/1/2026, 7:55:09 PM1 trades$20,0000 min
12/14/2025, 6:18:59 PM17 trades$19,7502 min
12/10/2025, 10:53:48 PM144 trades$19,6073 min
12/10/2025, 1:57:06 PM290 trades$19,0988 min
7/6/2026, 7:38:01 PM24 trades$17,7006 min
12/10/2025, 11:15:28 PM64 trades$17,0111 min
11/29/2025, 6:53:51 PM16 trades$16,5004 min
12/8/2025, 5:02:51 PM3 trades$14,8642 min
12/13/2025, 4:44:23 PM20 trades$14,8503 min
12/10/2025, 8:15:20 PM12 trades$14,0612 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-30
11-08
12-02
12-14
06-18
06-27
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 225 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.72/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L2.1 / M58 / H40