J4RL3M

@J4RL3M

#56,23310

0x03710baffa9885597676ed34778136ea36e170c3

~69d· 198 markets · 1635 tradesVol: $676,0942026-08-02 06:53:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (45/167)0/20
0.42x (win $3,632 / loss $8,660)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6520/15
Sortino -3.8680/10
$-0.2781 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 889 (167 markets)8.1/10
15/41 profitable days (37%)1.6/10
Max DD 793% of peak ($5,752 / $725)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+1,807
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,789,303$-458Vol: $368,164
🏛️ POLITICS#16,849$1,103Vol: $272,969
🌤️ WEATHER#1,365$1,258Vol: $14,483
💰 FINANCE#597,206$-21Vol: $10,976
📈 ECONOMICS#634,614$-27Vol: $6,948
CRYPTO#1,373,091$-45Vol: $2,333
🎭 CULTURE#584,913$-2Vol: $220

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,807
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$676,094
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
198
total markets
Trades
670B / 965S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~69d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-164
Vol: $0
Month
$-9
Vol: $2,479
All Time
$1,807
Vol: $676,094

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
45W / 122L events
Realized PnL
$1,807
Win Rate
27%
45W / 122L
Profit Factor
0.42x
Avg Win
$81
Avg Loss
$-78

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,530 (1.3998008188558149% of PnL)

Top Winners

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$1,130
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$867
Iran leadership change by March 31?$534
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?$436
Iran leadership change by April 30?$131
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?$75
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$69
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 13, 2026?$62
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$57
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?$26

Top Losers

Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-2,771
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-2,014
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?$-904
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-418
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?$-320
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-233
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$-201
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$-176
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?$-161
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$-138

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.189
Sortino
-0.172
HHI
889
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.289
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.1%
Top-5 markets
58.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
37s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 37s — normal for humanCV 2.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.7
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)60.6%
Mid (20-55c)12.7%
High (>55c)26.7%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 3:11:48 AM28 trades$13,8136 min
6/15/2026, 3:27:43 AM7 trades$7,6281 min
7/2/2026, 6:26:23 AM16 trades$4,0475 min
7/4/2026, 7:42:29 AM13 trades$3,0281 min
6/15/2026, 1:57:51 PM22 trades$2,9833 min
7/3/2026, 5:32:53 PM12 trades$2,7361 min
6/11/2026, 9:39:49 PM13 trades$2,3401 min
6/28/2026, 1:35:43 AM12 trades$2,2188 min
6/24/2026, 4:08:53 AM25 trades$2,2131 min
7/6/2026, 3:09:26 AM6 trades$2,1340 min
5/22/2026, 2:31:57 PM19 trades$2,1060 min
6/4/2026, 11:12:43 AM81 trades$2,0771 min
5/21/2026, 2:54:49 PM16 trades$2,0052 min
5/16/2026, 11:46:47 AM9 trades$1,9821 min
6/14/2026, 8:23:42 AM24 trades$1,8222 min
6/28/2026, 5:36:43 PM9 trades$1,8181 min
6/25/2026, 8:17:08 AM49 trades$1,8090 min
5/16/2026, 6:33:48 AM11 trades$1,8004 min
7/4/2026, 7:13:22 AM13 trades$1,7795 min
6/11/2026, 11:07:37 AM4 trades$1,5500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-12
02-18
03-06
03-20
05-21
06-14
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 46 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.7/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L60.6 / M12.7 / H26.7