@outcomes
#11,830670x03c8118da338a9dafb2bae9a4e89055203a30e01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
36% (273/768)2.8/20
1.71x (win $32,094 / loss $18,727)11.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.36915/15
Sortino 3.54710/10
$+0.1818 per $1 invested9.1/10
HHI 178 (768 markets)10/10
84/214 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 37% of peak ($5,286 / $14,298)6.6/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+12,637
Lottery Player
67% entries < $0.20
Whale
$73,509 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#5,413$6,324Vol: $643,573
🎭 CULTURE#805,633$-534Vol: $229,131
₿ CRYPTO#76,653$141Vol: $82,198
💰 FINANCE#4,253$982Vol: $46,457
⚽ SPORTS#99,519$152Vol: $45,980
📈 ECONOMICS#675,949$-608Vol: $31,975
💻 TECH#2,359$462Vol: $17,195
📢 MENTIONS#1,236$1,028Vol: $11,706
🌤️ WEATHER#16,365$20Vol: $10,727
Overview
#1Net PnL
$12,637
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,163,115
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
796
total markets
Trades
3008B / 1522S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~280d
Periods
#2Today
$5
Vol: $0
Week
$215
Vol: $0
Month
$-48
Vol: $2,000
All Time
$12,637
Vol: $1,163,115
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
36%
273W / 495L events
Realized PnL
$12,637
Win Rate
36%
273W / 495L
Profit Factor
1.71x
Avg Win
$118
Avg Loss
$-41
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,271 (1.1292888287475567% of PnL)
Top Winners
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$11,122
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?$1,726
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$1,423
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China by November 30?$1,421
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$1,065
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$900
Thailand strikes Cambodia by December 31?$780
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$773
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$606
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$580
Top Losers
LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair - Game 1 Winner$-4,258
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$-1,543
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?$-568
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-485
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?$-431
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-385
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?$-385
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$-355
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?$-334
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$-319
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.071
Sortino
0.149
HHI
75
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.203
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
11.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
12.5
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 574s — normal for humanCV 3.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
5.33
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)67%
Mid (20-55c)22%
High (>55c)10.9%
Sessions
#124/29/2026, 5:28:32 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
3/5/2026, 9:56:09 PM1 trades$4,2410 min
4/30/2026, 1:15:58 AM4 trades$3,6740 min
4/30/2026, 1:25:54 AM4 trades$3,6740 min
5/9/2026, 5:26:19 PM2 trades$2,9970 min
7/15/2026, 1:46:19 PM4 trades$2,6290 min
5/11/2026, 1:36:35 PM8 trades$2,5820 min
8/1/2026, 2:40:14 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
4/3/2026, 7:53:01 AM3 trades$1,9740 min
4/29/2026, 9:26:00 PM13 trades$1,9083 min
1/11/2026, 3:03:14 PM2 trades$1,5514 min
5/9/2026, 3:05:56 PM2 trades$1,5000 min
5/31/2026, 9:58:42 PM2 trades$1,5000 min
5/31/2026, 11:54:58 PM9 trades$1,5000 min
2/20/2026, 9:19:56 AM1 trades$1,3770 min
2/20/2026, 9:40:36 AM2 trades$1,3432 min
5/8/2026, 5:00:08 PM9 trades$1,3255 min
5/11/2026, 8:04:26 PM5 trades$1,3101 min
12/18/2025, 11:58:17 PM7 trades$1,0337 min
7/17/2026, 7:06:28 AM15 trades$1,0170 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-05
09-24
11-03
12-11
01-22
03-15
06-18
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 57 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.33/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L67 / M22 / H10.9