@cryptic-bolt

#64,98375

0x04083339bf56d317786e110036e62b99e087856b

~43d· 34 markets · 339 tradesVol: $57,4832026-08-02 04:14:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (17/30)13.3/20
1.82x (win $5,241 / loss $2,875)12.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.20115/15
Sortino 11.68210/10
$+0.0897 per $1 invested4.5/10
HHI 1175 (30 markets)6.6/10
13/22 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 42% of peak ($1,020 / $2,406)5.5/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+1,471
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 10.1 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#12,180$1,849Vol: $18,068
💰 FINANCE#652,105$-871Vol: $13,396
📈 ECONOMICS#2,671$1,233Vol: $11,355
₿ CRYPTO#41,614$538Vol: $10,128
⚽ SPORTS#1,841,601$-1,446Vol: $3,894
🎭 CULTURE#15,396$167Vol: $643

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,471
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$57,483
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
241B / 98S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$70
Vol: $0
Month
$-58
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,471
Vol: $57,483

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
17W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$1,471
Win Rate
57%
17W / 13L
Profit Factor
1.82x
Avg Win
$308
Avg Loss
$-261

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,937 (2.6768195261243504% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Solana dip to $80 in May?$1,705
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,262
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$971
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$356
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$336
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$167
Will Solana reach $100 in May?$135
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?$122
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$44
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$38

Top Losers

Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$-1,531
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?$-470
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-290
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$-220
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?$-128
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?$-107
Will Solana dip to $60 in July?$-40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?$-30
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$-20
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 9?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.215
Sortino
0.511
HHI
970
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.098
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.3%
Top-5 markets
59.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1244s — normal for humanCV 2.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.07
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.7%
Mid (20-55c)7.5%
High (>55c)61.8%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 8:21:32 PM2 trades$5,9940 min
6/26/2026, 8:05:37 PM6 trades$2,7001 min
6/26/2026, 8:28:16 PM2 trades$2,3504 min
5/23/2026, 10:51:16 PM5 trades$1,9270 min
5/17/2026, 5:36:18 AM9 trades$1,8100 min
6/5/2026, 12:26:00 AM5 trades$1,6861 min
6/11/2026, 8:30:43 PM9 trades$1,6000 min
5/14/2026, 12:42:13 AM3 trades$1,3345 min
5/10/2026, 6:13:25 PM4 trades$1,1642 min
5/23/2026, 5:29:35 PM18 trades$99011 min
6/18/2026, 6:08:16 AM1 trades$9270 min
5/16/2026, 1:52:40 AM2 trades$9200 min
6/3/2026, 3:39:16 PM4 trades$7781 min
5/20/2026, 8:49:07 PM9 trades$6401 min
6/4/2026, 5:27:34 PM2 trades$6000 min
6/29/2026, 7:05:04 PM2 trades$6000 min
4/20/2026, 2:49:52 AM9 trades$5786 min
5/7/2026, 3:25:39 AM8 trades$5625 min
6/11/2026, 7:22:00 PM1 trades$5460 min
7/13/2026, 9:19:20 PM2 trades$5000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-11
04-20
05-12
05-20
06-12
06-19
07-13
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.07/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L30.7 / M7.5 / H61.8