@0x04606aae7a7aa20ce9fecf218418296e79f2430b
330x04606aae7a7aa20ce9fecf218418296e79f2430b
~22d· 76 markets · 131 trades2026-08-02 06:36:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
77% (57/74)20/20
0.18x (win $21 / loss $122)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.1940/15
Sortino -6.7420/10
$-0.0057 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1852 (74 markets)3.2/10
16/22 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 3203% of peak ($104 / $3)0/10
Badges
3Sniper
Win rate 77%
Consistent
16/22 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-101
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,731
Total Redeem
$36
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
80B / 51S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
77%
57W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-101
Win Rate
77%
57W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.18x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-9
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16 (0.15616979269496545% of PnL)
Top Winners
Patriots vs. Broncos$6
Lightning vs. Blackhawks$6
UFC 324: Fugitt vs. Miller (Welterweight, Early Prelims)$4
UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)$1
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Appalachian State Mountaineers$1
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?$1
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 January 26-1?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 March 2-8?$0
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?$0
Top Losers
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?$-54
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 January 26-1?$-20
Ducks vs. Flames$-19
Flyers vs. Avalanche$-15
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$-3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-3
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-3
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-3
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$-3
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.368
Sortino
-0.238
HHI
1245
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.007
Kelly %
70.4%
Half-Kelly
35.2%
Top-1 market
16%
Top-5 markets
78.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.5m
between trades
Night Trading
84%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 3.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)84% night trades — never sleeps7/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 2:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.7
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)2.5%
High (>55c)97.5%
Sessions
#122/4/2026, 2:05:24 AM2 trades$5,6322 min
2/4/2026, 2:30:30 AM2 trades$5,6112 min
2/4/2026, 2:49:14 AM2 trades$5,5844 min
2/4/2026, 3:40:36 AM2 trades$5,5432 min
2/4/2026, 1:34:26 AM1 trades$2,8330 min
2/4/2026, 3:09:56 AM1 trades$2,7840 min
2/4/2026, 3:15:12 AM1 trades$2,7840 min
2/4/2026, 6:26:54 AM1 trades$2,7660 min
6/19/2026, 3:08:20 AM6 trades$1274 min
1/30/2026, 1:25:34 AM7 trades$1172 min
1/26/2026, 3:24:20 AM6 trades$992 min
3/9/2026, 2:12:09 AM9 trades$935 min
1/23/2026, 9:19:28 AM6 trades$792 min
5/11/2026, 1:35:12 AM10 trades$671 min
2/8/2026, 1:51:35 AM5 trades$641 min
6/6/2026, 5:14:03 AM8 trades$561 min
6/24/2026, 5:22:35 AM8 trades$562 min
3/4/2026, 6:59:29 AM5 trades$561 min
2/22/2026, 2:15:22 AM4 trades$550 min
2/8/2026, 1:36:21 AM5 trades$480 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-23
02-04
03-04
03-29
04-14
05-21
06-19
07-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 147 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M2.5 / H97.5