@dumbfuqLIQUIDITYprovider
#2,078560x048215305cbcf7cc790735bf00119551d75c6b0a
~103d· 682 markets · 30958 tradesVol: $9,843,2342026-08-02 06:25:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
34% (218/650)1.8/20
1.36x (win $681,760 / loss $502,405)7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.96215/15
Sortino 3.60410/10
$+0.1294 per $1 invested6.5/10
HHI 121 (650 markets)10/10
43/98 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 59% of peak ($147,924 / $250,984)2.2/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+91,656
Lottery Player
50% entries < $0.20
Whale
$1,385,773 invested
High Roller
$13,198/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#4,998$187Vol: $1,379
Overview
#1Net PnL
$91,656
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,843,234
Total Redeem
$13,454
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
682
total markets
Trades
11044B / 19914S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~103d
Periods
#2Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$91,656
Vol: $9,843,234
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
33%
216W / 430L events
Realized PnL
$91,656
Win Rate
33%
216W / 430L
Profit Factor
1.36x
Avg Win
$3,127
Avg Loss
$-1,191
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $362,074 (3.9503538500731814% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$291,945
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$39,292
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$30,837
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$22,156
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$21,059
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$15,718
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$15,505
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$13,320
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$12,008
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$11,469
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-58,155
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-30,568
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-22,171
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-20,198
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-18,931
Iran leadership change by June 30?$-14,214
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-12,428
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$-11,480
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-10,001
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-7,940
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.050
Sortino
0.158
HHI
133
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.134
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.7%
Top-5 markets
18.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
294.8
Very active
Markets / Day
6.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
16.7m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
67.2
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 62s — normal for humanCV 2.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock295 trades/day — automation6.5 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
46.73
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)50.1%
Mid (20-55c)22.3%
High (>55c)27.6%
Sessions
#125/9/2026, 6:35:18 PM16 trades$66,39810 min
6/14/2026, 9:05:52 PM105 trades$55,88626 min
5/2/2026, 12:23:28 AM12 trades$52,5355 min
6/24/2026, 12:38:52 PM76 trades$38,0298 min
5/10/2026, 8:12:53 PM68 trades$33,7698 min
6/14/2026, 10:33:21 AM34 trades$31,2115 min
5/18/2026, 6:55:29 PM100 trades$30,98113 min
6/11/2026, 5:01:03 PM75 trades$30,0629 min
5/18/2026, 11:32:16 AM68 trades$29,88912 min
4/7/2026, 10:32:05 PM136 trades$27,53812 min
5/20/2026, 2:19:03 PM120 trades$25,54016 min
5/2/2026, 1:37:32 PM37 trades$23,9500 min
6/11/2026, 5:47:46 PM27 trades$22,9177 min
6/12/2026, 2:51:33 PM82 trades$22,50718 min
5/16/2026, 9:11:43 PM131 trades$21,01618 min
6/14/2026, 10:48:37 PM35 trades$20,96419 min
5/2/2026, 1:05:26 AM15 trades$20,4110 min
6/16/2026, 7:06:31 PM6 trades$20,0029 min
5/27/2026, 9:07:38 PM2 trades$20,0000 min
6/14/2026, 5:59:09 PM105 trades$19,94438 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-17
04-02
04-19
05-06
05-23
06-08
06-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 15 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 46.73/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L50.1 / M22.3 / H27.6