@ALevinson

#3,065,72634

0x0491441ceb60bb8cba20f65e6d97da76dcdfa47f

~114d· 622 markets · 2818 tradesVol: $735,3572026-08-02 05:09:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (358/612)14.2/20
0.35x (win $16,001 / loss $45,225)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4250/15
Sortino -3.3950/10
$-0.0991 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 319 (612 markets)10/10
62/82 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 671% of peak ($35,305 / $5,259)0/10

Badges

4
Whale
$294,915 invested
Consistent
62/82 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,641,330$-34,557Vol: $510,528
📈 ECONOMICS#670,797$-280Vol: $83,500
📢 MENTIONS#301$5,910Vol: $81,835
🎭 CULTURE#799,116$-285Vol: $42,606
CRYPTO#110,312$72Vol: $14,203
💻 TECH#13,018$20Vol: $1,920
SPORTS#93,925$172Vol: $756
🌤️ WEATHER#67,364$1Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-28,947
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$735,357
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
622
total markets
Trades
1677B / 1141S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~114d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$17
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-28,947
Vol: $735,357

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
358W / 254L events
Realized PnL
$-28,947
Win Rate
59%
358W / 254L
Profit Factor
0.35x
Avg Win
$45
Avg Loss
$-198

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,789 (0.09634198118014625% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kamala Harris say "abortion" during DNC speech?$1,232
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154$842
Israel military action against Iran in August?$715
Will Obama say "Thank you" 7 or more times at DNC speech?$696
Kamala Harris blowout victory?$676
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?$600
Will Kamala Harris say "first-time homebuyer" during her Pennsylvania speech?$480
JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee?$435
Will Kamala say "first-time homebuyer" during her Nevada speech?$412
Will Kamala say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" at debate?$397

Top Losers

Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?$-13,183
Trump wins every swing state?$-9,236
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$-7,429
Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?$-4,238
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-3,137
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$-1,423
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$-1,218
Will RFK drop out before November?$-981
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?$-561
Will Donald Trump say "Tip" during his Michigan town hall?$-385

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.178
Sortino
-0.096
HHI
226
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.105
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.9%
Top-5 markets
25.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
56.9m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 587s — normal for humanCV 3.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.36
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19%
Mid (20-55c)18.5%
High (>55c)62.5%

Sessions

#12
8/25/2024, 7:11:22 PM6 trades$24,5175 min
8/10/2024, 4:08:11 AM8 trades$10,18715 min
8/7/2024, 2:48:19 AM4 trades$7,7101 min
7/30/2024, 10:01:19 PM4 trades$6,7369 min
8/23/2024, 3:43:30 AM1 trades$6,0170 min
4/14/2026, 12:13:27 AM13 trades$5,8619 min
8/9/2024, 1:19:06 PM1 trades$5,8500 min
8/23/2024, 6:15:42 AM4 trades$5,8214 min
8/8/2024, 9:33:22 PM2 trades$5,7444 min
8/9/2024, 7:10:48 PM2 trades$5,6504 min
4/17/2026, 6:23:30 PM14 trades$5,4261 min
8/26/2024, 4:04:09 PM1 trades$5,4000 min
8/26/2024, 4:42:09 PM1 trades$5,2320 min
10/31/2024, 4:29:30 PM2 trades$5,1300 min
8/3/2024, 3:56:16 AM2 trades$5,0690 min
5/1/2026, 5:01:36 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
8/26/2024, 6:39:37 PM5 trades$4,8886 min
8/9/2024, 4:48:17 PM2 trades$4,5091 min
9/27/2024, 11:33:56 PM2 trades$4,4670 min
9/6/2024, 2:45:05 AM2 trades$4,4150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-31
08-20
09-06
09-29
05-19
06-07
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 75 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.36/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19 / M18.5 / H62.5