@rchiang

#3,063,08614

0x054790303ef27c09351c6ee72fdbb3b83e0d9926

~173d· 462 markets · 1672 tradesVol: $1,368,963 @RogerChian651262026-08-02 06:27:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (192/435)7.1/20
0.86x (win $94,774 / loss $110,336)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8400/15
Sortino -0.9560/10
$-0.0702 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2243 (435 markets)1.3/10
65/133 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 3564% of peak ($25,650 / $720)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Whale
$221,599 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
SPORTS#10,137$4,503Vol: $888,910
🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,318$-26,375Vol: $358,783
CRYPTO#20,950$1,929Vol: $28,020
💰 FINANCE#654,627$-1,700Vol: $21,056
🎭 CULTURE#811,448$-1,307Vol: $19,212
💻 TECH#2,788$354Vol: $6,108
📢 MENTIONS#168,073$-178Vol: $2,166
🌤️ WEATHER#19,495$14Vol: $550
📈 ECONOMICS#9,894$149Vol: $249

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-19,785
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,368,963
Total Redeem
$134
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
462
total markets
Trades
761B / 911S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~173d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-19,785
Vol: $1,368,963

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
192W / 243L events
Realized PnL
$-19,785
Win Rate
44%
192W / 243L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$494
Avg Loss
$-464

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18,023 (0.9109403209274021% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spurs vs. Knicks$6,809
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6,443
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$4,771
Mexico leading at halftime?$4,670
Argentina leading at halftime?$3,903
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)$2,706
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2,658
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$2,462
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$2,167
Spread: Spain (-3.5)$2,125

Top Losers

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-9,980
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-8,708
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)$-4,628
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-4,600
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5$-3,136
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,891
United States leading at halftime?$-2,400
Spread: England (-1.5)$-2,121
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Portugal O/U 1.5$-2,000
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-1,966

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.044
Sortino
-0.037
HHI
111
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.079
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
17.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 78s — normal for humanCV 1.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.3
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.3%
Mid (20-55c)33.9%
High (>55c)42.8%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 9:01:16 PM40 trades$325,2170 min
6/24/2026, 5:18:22 AM38 trades$10,0223 min
10/18/2024, 1:34:38 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
6/22/2026, 2:17:40 PM11 trades$9,5802 min
6/22/2026, 5:49:10 PM9 trades$7,2382 min
6/17/2026, 6:12:34 PM23 trades$6,5729 min
6/6/2026, 11:33:33 AM14 trades$6,3040 min
7/11/2026, 6:32:11 PM6 trades$6,1370 min
6/21/2026, 3:41:35 PM17 trades$5,9031 min
2/9/2026, 3:35:49 AM1 trades$5,7910 min
6/23/2026, 6:08:23 PM10 trades$5,7491 min
4/12/2026, 8:24:49 AM26 trades$5,7113 min
7/11/2026, 9:48:43 PM20 trades$5,0182 min
6/23/2026, 12:57:47 AM4 trades$5,0122 min
7/8/2026, 12:39:55 PM4 trades$4,8860 min
4/3/2026, 8:42:33 PM30 trades$4,5451 min
6/24/2026, 9:10:28 PM11 trades$4,5138 min
1/26/2026, 12:10:24 AM11 trades$4,51014 min
7/11/2026, 9:30:55 PM25 trades$4,4001 min
6/20/2026, 8:04:25 PM7 trades$4,3710 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-19
09-18
11-05
11-24
02-04
06-15
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 426 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.3 / M33.9 / H42.8