@abelardofelipe

#2,738,73319

0x06451c7539367fca469f83247ff4414b4075c08e

~86d· 891 markets · 2052 tradesVol: $61,3322026-08-02 10:43:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (251/882)0/20
0.94x (win $4,185 / loss $4,452)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1440/15
Sortino -1.2880/10
$-0.0296 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 93 (882 markets)10/10
50/86 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 227% of peak ($476 / $209)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#5,733$147Vol: $31,853
SPORTS#1,764,175$-290Vol: $17,042
💰 FINANCE#620,172$-56Vol: $6,380
🎭 CULTURE#739,252$-27Vol: $3,133
CRYPTO#1,079,757$-7Vol: $2,839
🏛️ POLITICS#1,049,655$-3Vol: $68

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-238
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$61,332
Total Redeem
$10
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
891
total markets
Trades
1324B / 728S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~86d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $0
Week
$-98
Vol: $0
Month
$-21
Vol: $169
All Time
$-238
Vol: $61,332

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
251W / 631L events
Realized PnL
$-238
Win Rate
28%
251W / 631L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $275 (1.154379332073094% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 24?$92
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on February 23?$92
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5$91
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 17?$90
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on February 28?$85
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C on February 19?$83
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5$75
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 7?$75
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5$72
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 3?$71

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 17?$-76
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 5?$-68
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5$-67
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5$-66
1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)$-65
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins$-65
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C on February 23?$-63
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$-62
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 13?$-60
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 25?$-58

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.059
Sortino
-0.049
HHI
92
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.030
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.8%
Top-5 markets
13.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.1
Active
Markets / Day
5.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.0

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 890s — normal for humanCV 1.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active5.2 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.3
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)48.6%
Mid (20-55c)35.7%
High (>55c)15.7%

Sessions

#12
4/2/2026, 10:20:31 PM64 trades$9318 min
6/12/2026, 11:05:37 PM34 trades$35016 min
4/2/2026, 2:31:07 PM46 trades$3345 min
3/31/2026, 7:06:03 PM42 trades$3270 min
6/13/2026, 6:13:42 PM8 trades$3220 min
4/4/2026, 6:13:51 AM41 trades$3182 min
6/12/2026, 11:30:24 PM29 trades$31220 min
4/3/2026, 12:18:57 AM37 trades$2530 min
6/13/2026, 2:23:19 AM18 trades$24315 min
2/12/2026, 1:28:51 PM6 trades$2185 min
2/12/2026, 1:01:49 PM2 trades$2164 min
6/13/2026, 2:51:40 AM7 trades$2110 min
4/1/2026, 10:45:29 PM28 trades$2100 min
4/2/2026, 9:55:07 PM59 trades$2092 min
4/3/2026, 9:37:35 AM21 trades$1860 min
4/2/2026, 1:07:21 PM29 trades$1780 min
2/13/2026, 6:23:53 PM2 trades$1763 min
3/31/2026, 8:12:19 PM30 trades$1580 min
3/31/2026, 7:00:25 PM36 trades$1470 min
6/13/2026, 2:06:03 AM11 trades$14711 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-10
03-02
03-27
06-12
06-26
07-11
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 47 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
54% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.3/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L48.6 / M35.7 / H15.7