@0x069e6e17860a1ca21bb3f899ce9986780cf5863c

5

0x069e6e17860a1ca21bb3f899ce9986780cf5863c

~38d· 53 markets · 452 trades2026-08-02 07:39:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

28% (8/29)0/20
0.84x (win $387 / loss $459)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0490/15
Sortino -1.5220/10
$-0.0277 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1753 (29 markets)3.7/10
8/23 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 149% of peak ($217 / $145)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+253

Categories

2
SPORTS#265,657$12Vol: $6,491
🎭 CULTURE#173,116$1Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$253
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,591
Total Redeem
$55
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
133B / 319S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
28%
8W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$253
Win Rate
28%
8W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$48
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $364 (1.4340381884172322% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$312
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?$34
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$8
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$5
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$4
Spurs vs. Knicks$3
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 29-January 4?$3

Top Losers

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-138
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?$-118
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-30
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-30
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-29
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?$-17
Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?$-13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-10
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?$-10
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.054
Sortino
-0.064
HHI
187
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.081
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.5%
Top-5 markets
23%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 203s — normal for humanCV 1.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.3%
Mid (20-55c)14.3%
High (>55c)56.4%

Sessions

#12
8/2/2026, 6:10:35 AM15 trades$3,1061 min
7/26/2026, 9:11:42 PM21 trades$1,99510 min
7/31/2026, 8:46:26 AM19 trades$1,20110 min
7/16/2026, 4:16:10 PM21 trades$1,1475 min
7/15/2026, 6:28:55 AM10 trades$1,0790 min
7/15/2026, 10:04:55 AM15 trades$1,0625 min
7/26/2026, 9:05:58 PM25 trades$9170 min
7/30/2026, 7:39:53 AM13 trades$9102 min
7/28/2026, 4:02:28 PM21 trades$6653 min
7/28/2026, 4:52:41 PM7 trades$6501 min
7/13/2026, 6:23:43 PM9 trades$6390 min
7/13/2026, 6:15:02 PM12 trades$5742 min
7/19/2026, 3:25:36 PM6 trades$4902 min
7/20/2026, 9:21:52 AM2 trades$4000 min
7/9/2026, 11:29:22 AM11 trades$3814 min
7/26/2026, 10:20:48 AM16 trades$3216 min
7/13/2026, 5:30:17 PM3 trades$3150 min
7/30/2026, 1:35:39 AM10 trades$3140 min
7/9/2026, 8:29:26 AM6 trades$1815 min
7/9/2026, 1:38:26 PM4 trades$1580 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-02
04-16
04-21
05-10
06-10
07-09
07-12
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.3 / M14.3 / H56.4